Wednesday, April 07, 2010

Are They Getting It? UNM & APS Leaders Show Signs Of Bowing To Public Pressure, Plus: Martinez TV Analyzed, And: An Artesia Princess 

Schmidly & Brooks
Maybe they're starting to get it? The battering ram of public opinion is often slow to break the door down, but it finally seems to be having its effect on the insular bureaucracies that run the public education establishment in New Mexico. University of New Mexico President David Schmidly has thrown a bone to the recession-ravaged crowds and decided not to fill an impending vacancy among the 19 UNM vice-presidents, collectively pulling down $4.5 million a year. And over at the ABQ public schools, APS Superintendent Winston Brooks is now beginning to bend to public pressure to cut the nonclasroom budget. He's also targeting 153 APS "double-dippers."

Schmidly's resistance to the populist wave has been unwavering. That is until he called recently for cutting back on cleaning classrooms and thus balancing the UNM budget on the backs of the janitors. That PR and policy gaffe seemed like a defining moment of this Great Bear Market, where the key element has been the scorching of the working classes while the upper echelons go unscathed. Before it's over, Schmidly will likely be seen rafting the Rio Grande and throwing more VP's overboard. That is if he's still steering the raft.

Brooks is showing a somewhat unsteady hand at the helm, giving mixed messages on just how he plans to solve the budget crisis and who will be among the nearly 700 employees who may lose their jobs.. Like Schmidly, Brooks has resisted mightily the widely accepted view that education administration has grown like spring weeds. But now that the Alligators are circling, Brooks is swimming fast. The double dippers who draw a paycheck and a retirement check have a target on heir backs. Not that all are in administration, but surely some. And then there's the Super's apparent big reversal on overall administrative spending. From the press:

Brooks made a point that his administration is listening, holding up binders full of public comment that have been sifted through and taken into account. He said many of the comments urged him to make cuts to the administration instead of classrooms, and that he has tried to do so as much as he can.

"We've heard you loud and clear," he said to an audience that filled the boardroom, adding that nonschool budgets have already taken heavy cuts in the past two years and that they make up less than 1 percent of the $655 million APS budget.


That's a start, even if Brooks continues to insist that only 1 percent of the budget is composed of administrative costs. Actually, Mr. Superintendent, that's probably the percentage of the public that agrees with your assertion about such spending.

ROBIN'S NEST

She was controversial when she worked as a cabinet secretary for Republican Governor Gary Johnson, and it's easy to predict that Robin Dozier Otten is going to be equally controversial as ABQ Mayor Berry's director of family and community services. Her first pass at the headlines brings news of a tussle with a city union over layoffs at a drug rehab program. Dozier Otten is good friends with Berry Lightning Rod #1--Public Safety Director Darren White.

MARTINEZ TV DEBUT

The first TV spot from Susana Martinez would be a sure-fire hit if she were running for attorney general, but in the hotly competitive GOP race for Governor, her thirty second spot falls into the merely average category. That's far from the "game changer" her most ardent Las Cruces supporters and potential press secretaries have labeled her candidacy.


The ad does get the job done when it comes to pumping up the name ID of the relatively unknown Dona Ana County district attorney. The announcer mentions it three times in the ad, the Web site--susanamartinez.com--is posted for the full thirty seconds and one shot includes a collage of Martinez campaign posters.

But the spot endeavors to stretch Martinez's narrow background--she has been DA for 13 years--to justify her guv run. It only partially succeeds. Compared to a Bill Richardson, Diane Denish or even an Allen Weh, it comes across as, well, an ad for attorney general.

She emphasizes her record of fighting Dona Ana County corruption, citing conviction of a municipal judge and a county clerk. In another example, the ad declares she has "taken on members of the most violent Mexican drug cartels." That left us a little queasy. Aren't the drug cartels still running riot through the streets of Mexico leaving thousands dead in their wake?


We also note for another reason the candidate's emphasis on border security as the campaign heats up. Her primary appeal is in the south where she hails from. She will go for a big score there to overcome her inability to break through in the ABQ metro.

Martinez, 50, does come across as an outsider which seems to be the mood du jour this cycle, and the ad is nicely paced and well-produced. And maybe the tough on crime angle mollifies male GOP voters who might otherwise shy away from her. Of course,
the downside is the opposition research that will focus on any cases where Martinez might not have been so tough.

And we see many sides of Martinez in this ad, perhaps too many. In one close-up she plays tough, in another she plays friendly and in yet another she appears smug.

Because she lacks an extraordinary moment in her long tenure as DA, Martinez will need a series of ads to break through, including something about the woman, not just the lawyer. And she will need plenty of money to do it. That remains a problem. The campaign says her buy is "significant" and is on ABQ broadcast and cable, but it's unlikely she will match the output of the self-financed Allen Weh. This spot will have to move numbers for her if she is to raise the necessary cash.

Martinez had a blockbuster performance among party activists at the March pre-primary convention where she dominated the field. She fights hard in her TV ad to keep the momentum going but scores a single. As we said, it's far from a game-changer, but the game is on.


FOREVER YOUNG
Rep. Park
We're well aware that ABQ Dem State Rep. Al Park does not appear to age. He's been looking 25 years old for ten years, and we know because he has guested on our KANW-FM Election Night specials for a number of years. But memo to Diane Denish--Al is no longer young!

We're sure he's elated to be listed on your invitation as one of the hosts for your April 16 "Young Professionals Mixer," but the brutal truth is that Al turned 40 earlier this year. He's now seriously looking at bottled prune juice when he shops. Not only that, we used to call him a liberal, but this year he said he supports major spending cuts to balance the budget. If that isn't a sign that the gray hair is starting to creep across the temples, what is?

While we're at it, what is Santa Fe lawyer and onetime attorney general candidate Geno Zamora doing on Di's "youth list?" Geno is even older than Al and these days spends his time studying PERA retirement charts.

Di does have some genuine youth on her mixer list. ABQ Dem State Senator Tim Keller and ABQ attorney Katy Duhigg are the real articles, well under the Big 4-0. But go ahead, Geno and Al, attend the mixer and have a good time. But please don't talk at the party about those aches and pains you get in the morning. Remember, youth must be served.

MILLION DOLLAR MAN

Dem US Rep. Martin Heinrich has crossed the million dollar mark when it comes to cash on hand for his first-relection campaign to the ABQ House seat. His full quarterly report will be out soon. Heinrich's GOP challenger, attorney Jon Barela, reported $215,000 in cash at the end of December. Heinrich had about $835,000 in cash at the end of December. Barela can be outspent and still be a credible threat, but he needs to start closing that four to one cash gap.

ANOTHER FREE RIDE

Appointed Bernalillo County Commissioner Maggie Hart Stebbins joins the free ride list for the June 1 Democratic primary. She had an opponent but says he has withdrawn. And get ready for the name of this political unknown. It's Wellington Marcelinaoant Guzman. Too bad he's going away. We'd like to see him try to fit that name on a yard sign.

Hart Stebbins has a GOP opponent for November, but this SE Heights district hasn't gone R in many a moon, so if she keeps herself out of trouble a full four year term should be hers.

She was appointed to the seat by Big Bill last year when Commissioner Deanna Archuleta resigned to take a job in DC with the Obama administration. The commission has five members, three Dems and two R's.

AN ARTESIA PRINCESS

Artesia native Chelsea Anne Stallings is ready for a spring ritual. She's been named the 2010 Cherry Blossom Princess by the NM State Society in DC and represents the state at the annual Cherry Blossom Festival. A national queen will be selected from one of the fifty states and crowned Friday night.

Chelsea, 21, served as an intern to Senator Tom Udall and now does the same for ABQ Rep. Martin Heinrich. She is studying English and Political Science at UNM and plans to graduate in 2011.

And fellas, before you email--yes, she is single.

This is the home of New Mexico politics. Email your news and comments, anonymously if you wish. Interested in advertising here? Drop us a line.

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Not for reproduction without permission of the author

Tuesday, April 06, 2010

Focus On The Speaker: Will His Primary Foe Land Any Blows? State Watches This One Closely, Plus: Ex-Mayor Marty On The Campaign Trail 

First the bad news for NM House Speaker Ben Lujan. For the first time in over 20 years the Democratic leader has a primary election opponent and one who has some credibility. The good news for the longtime leader is that even if Carl Trujillo makes an impressive run at Lujan and weakens him in the eyes of his fellow legislators, Alligators and Roundhouse wall-leaners say there does not appear to be anyone positioned to pull off a coup against Lujan and seize the top power post in the 70 member chamber.

Unlike Speaker Raymond Sanchez, Lujan's predecessor who served longer in the post than anyone in state history, Lujan has not groomed anyone to replace him. (Sanchez looked fondly on then-House Majority Leader Mike Olguin as a possible successor).

Not that Lujan isn't concerned about his primary challenge from the 43 year old Trujillo, a nephew of Santa Fe Dem State Rep. Jim Trujillo, a Lujan supporter who tried to dissuade Carl from making the challenge.

This is the year of the anti-incumbent, and even though Trujillo will apparently not be well-financed (he is not accepting contributions over $100), it won't take much in this environment for voters to look at a new and younger face.

Trujillo's theme--"I'm tired of the old politics"--is simple and has the potential to resonate with the disaffected.

GAMING IT OUT

Carl Trujillo
Lujan's tenure is pretty amazing. He was first elected in 1975, and is now serving his 35th year at the Roundhouse. He became Speaker of the House in 2001. Only Sanchez held the speakership longer.

At 74, he is encountering more balkiness from his caucus and continues to take criticism that he can be a bully, but he still manages to hold the D's together. His father was a sheepherder, a skill Lujan appears to have inherited.

Lujan was challenged for the speaker's chair in December 2006 by State Rep. Kenny Martinez, but the coup attempt failed and Martinez has since been a Lujan supplicant. He could try to rise again when Lujan retires, but his challenger days appear over. His attempted coup was authored by a wing of progressive Dems who Martinez no longer seems wedded to.

But what if Trujillo, a Los Alamos Labs research technologist, were to score over 30% of the June primary vote against Lujan? That might embolden Lujan's foes in the House, but it would be a revolution in search of a leader. There are simply no names circulating now that Senior Alligators say have the credibility to take Lujan out. Maybe if Lujan was wounded by Trujillo, one would emerge? Or there could be a long shot try at putting together a coalition comprised of a handful of unhappy Dems who join with the R's to oust Lujan?

But Lujan doesn't want those waters tested. He recently sent out a news release announcing he had been endorsed by the Pueblo of Pojoaque Tribal Council. that's hardly an earthshaking event, but something you do when you take seriously a threat to the throne.

NO CHALLENGE?

Why didn't state Dems put up anyone to run for the ABQ NE Heights seat being vacated by GOP State Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones who is now seeking the R nod for governor?

That question arose when we blogged last week that Republican and Sandia Labs engineer Conrad James is unopposed for the R nomination and no Dem has filed for the seat. James will get a free ride and become the first African-American on the GOP side of the aisle to represent Bernalillo County in the Legislature.

Scott Forrester, executive director of the NM Dem Party, tells us there was little the D's could do about. Even though party registration is not heavy R, he says the seat is solid for the GOP and would not be worth a Dem challenge. He points out no Dem has ever had it, and that would not change even with no incumbent running.

Forrester says the party's top priority House seats in the Bernalillo County area are those held by Karen Giannini, Ben Rodefer, Bill O'Neill and Eleanor Chavez.

ON THE SCENE

(Patty Baker)
Former ABQ Mayor Marty Chavez surfaces on the campaign trail today as a "special guest" at a fund-raiser for Dem Light Guv candidate Joe Campos at Scalo restaurant. Mark Fleisher, Chavez's campaign manager for his unsuccessful 2009 mayoral re-election, is no managing the Campos campaign. Chavez now works in DC as director of the International Council for Local Environmental Initiatives, an organization of local governments focusing on climate protection.

Chavez never ran for lieutenant governor, but he was the 1998 Dem Guv nominee and Diane Denish was his running mate. They lost to Gary Johnson and Walter Bradley...

Vanessa Alarid, who spearheaded Santa Fe lobbying efforts for real estate giant SunCal, has left the firm and taken up residence at Butch Maki and Associates, a prominent capitol lobbying firm. Alarid is a former executive director of the NM Dem party.

Alarid's SunCal boss, Will Steadman has also jumped ship. He has been named CEO of the commercial real estate brokerage Grubb and Ellis.

SunCal hired an army of lobbyists to try to win a controversial tax break known as a TIDD for its large land holdings on ABQ's West side. It came close, but never could muster enough votes in the Legislature to make it to Big Bill's desk.

The real estate crash ended SunCal's ambitious plans and also a lot of reliable pay checks to those Roundhouse lobbyists.

This is the home of New Mexico politics. Email your news and comments, anonymously if you wish. Interested in advertising here? Drop us a line.


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Monday, April 05, 2010

On The Trail: GOP Guv Race Still The One To Watch: Update On The Action, Plus: Even More Monday New Mexico Politics 

Allen Weh has had a nice two week run on TV all to himself, but that should be ending soon. Insiders say GOP Guv contender Susana Martinez finished filming TV ads last week. She was spotted recording one of them at the Dona Ana County courthouse. Martinez is the county's district attorney. No word on when her ads will go up, but we don't expect her to let Weh have the airwaves all to himself much longer. But how much of a presence she makes will be key. A light TV buy won't do much to dilute the Weh presence which is not light.

Weh and Martinez were the only two of the five GOP candidates to secure backing form at least 20 percent of the delegates at the party's March pre-primary convention. No candidate has ever won the party's Guv nomination without that 20 percent support.

THE BUS IS BACK

Weh has picked a new name for his new campaign bus (his first was destroyed in a fire) after inviting supporter suggestions, and it will probably bug presumptive Dem Guv nominee Diane Denish. The bus has been dubbed, "The Weh Forward." For the uninitiated, Weh is pronounced "way."Di's campaign slogan is "A New Way Forward." Looks like Allen is already putting the needle in Di.

DOMENICI'S DAYS


And what of the other GOP Guv contenders? Pete Domenici, Jr. hit with a splash in January but has not caused any waves since. His campaign is saying it will air TV ads, but don't expect him to buy a lot. Domenici's camp argues he already has widespread name ID because he is the son of the retired senator. They plan on hitting the mailboxes heavy in the final two months of the primary. But a Dem operative sees problems for Pete's strategy:

That strategy would be surprising--given that Domenici Jr. has to overcome two key obstacles: (1) That he's more than just a famous name and (2) that he's a dynamic leader capable of governing the state in challenging times. Those are difficult messages to convey via mail--which is more effective for passing on information than truly connecting with voters.

Any statewide campaign that tells you they'd rather spend their money on mail than on TV is really telling you one thing--they can't raise the money needed for TV. If Weh has the airwaves to himself for all of April, it will be difficult for the others to catch up.


That operative may have a point about the money. Domenici reported Friday that his campaign has now raised a total of $302,000 which includes a $50,000 campaign contribution he gave himself and $25,000 from hotel developer Sundaram Prakash. That's not going to be enough to compete with Weh on the tube. His name ID may have to carry him.

Domenici did not disclose his cash on hand. Campaign finance reports from all the statewide candidates are due April 12th.

FOLEY FOLLOW-UP

Former state House Minority Whip Dan Foley isn't getting any sympathy from his former hometown newspaper. The paper editorializes that it hopes a lawsuit Foley filed against Roswell cops is not settled in the ex-lawmaker's favor. Foley, now living in Rio Rancho, filed a lawsuit recently against Roswell police officers who arrested him in 2007 for interfering with his son's basketball game. The cops say Foley failed to obey police instructions and actually knocked an officer down. He was then restrained and taken into custody. From the RDR editorial:

We hope the city doesn’t enter into a settlement regarding this lawsuit as it would undermine the authority of Roswell’s police force. We’re not sure how much money it would take to get Foley to drop the suit, so the city might find itself being called on to spend more money fighting the case rather than settling.

We’d be surprised if Foley was awarded damages considering the details we have read in the police report. How can officers not react to someone who is disregarding their commands and has knocked down a fellow officer? It would be a travesty if the city hung its officers out to dry and diminished their standing in our community to save money.

Republican Foley served 10 years in the Legislature before going down to defeat in a GOP primary in 2008.

SHERIFF DUEL

That hot GOP primary for Bernalillo County Sheriff continues to draw attention, with County Commissioner Michael Brasher announcing he is endorsing William Kurth over Dan Houston. Kurth, retired from the ABQ police department, earlier picked up the endorsement of the other GOP commissioner, Michael Wiener, who has had his hands full lately with matters other than politics.

The two R commissioners both supported Kurth over Dan Houston, who is retired from the sheriff's office.

This nomination continues to draw attention because Republicans have had luck holding on to the post in Democratic Bernalillo County. R Darren White was elected to two terms before leaving to become ABQ public safety director. The Dems have half a dozen candidates seeking the sheriff nomination in the June 1 primary.

This is the home of New Mexico politics. Email your news and comments, anonymously if you wish. Interested in advertising here? Drop us a line.

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Friday, April 02, 2010

No Easter Break For The Bear: ABQ Jobless Rate Breaks 9 Percent; Mayor Proposes Salary Cuts To Beat Back Deficit 

They're celebrating the Resurrection this weekend, and hoping for another for this downtrodden economy that keeps buffeting Mr. and Mrs. New Mexico like the annual spring winds. The Bear Market news is now coming in spades. The City of ABQ proposes a three percent cut across the board salary cut for all city employees; unemployment in ABQ breaches the 9 percent mark for the first time in modern history; the state jobless rate hits 8.7 percent, and a 55 year old city bicycle business shutters its doors, costing 16 jobs and encapsulating the drip, drip nature of the downtrend.

ABQ Mayor RJ Berry is perilously close to adding to the unemployment lines by laying off city workers, but his budget proposal sent to the nine member city council for the year that starts July 1st avoids that dreaded option through salary cuts. No layoffs or furloughs, but some city employees are already asking the council to go for furloughs, because they think once their pay is cut it won't go back up even if good times return.

But the paramount concern is not to throw more people out of work. Berry's budget does that. Still, the administration has a long slog ahead. The projected deficit just keeps getting worse as business is slammed by the growing ranks of jobless and the endless recession. The shortfall is now estimated to be at least $65 million in a budget of about $475 million.

City Council President Ken Sanchez says the nine member panel won't be a rubber-stamp for the first budget from the new mayor. He tells us he is considering proposing that some city bond money be moved to the general operating budget. That would resolve some of the deficit and make unnecessary the salary cuts. Sanchez prefers furloughs.

But Berry railed against Mayor Chavez in last year's campaign for raiding bond money to balance previous city budgets. He may be able to hold the five Republicans on the council in voting against such a proposal.

And then there's Berry's rejection of the six percent pay raise previously negotiated for city firefighters and police. The mayor could have a legal fight on his hands.

Berry's plan to cut salaries across the board will probably be seen by the public as fair-minded. It is also a relatively quick and easy solution to the immense budget shortfall. However...

What we still await from this administration is its long-range thinking on the role of ABQ government. What departments should be eliminated or consolidated with others? Have the budgets for the public safety agencies grown too top heavy? How will we downsize? What can we do to lessen our dependence on the unpredictable gross receipts tax? What city property or buildings need to be sold or their leases renegotiated?

Councilor Sanchez says he will seek to have the city hire a forensic auditor to go department by department to answer these questions. With no signs that city cash coffers are about to overflow anytime soon, it's an idea the Berry administration should find easy to sign on to.

THE SHOCK

If you're in the private sector, you're probably used to the ups and downs of the economy, but government employees are notoriously security conscious. After all, that's why many of them become public employees--they are risk averse. That there is panic among many of them at the city and in the ABQ public schools system where layoffs of 700 may loom is not unexpected.

New Mexico's state and local governments and the thousands who toil in them are embarked upon unprecedented change, and the journey has only begun.

THE PUBLIC


The public still sees too much pampering in the public sector. We told you of the planned double-dipping of the Hobbs city manager that would have given him $235,000 in salary and retirement. The outrage was enough to force Eric Honeyfield to drop his double dipping plans.

HEARD ON THE STREET

From the email:

I wish Bill Richardson would get that
movie post in Washington. At least then there would be one job opening in New Mexico!

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Thursday, April 01, 2010

The 2010 April Fools' Day Headlines Fresh From The Printing Presses Of La Politica 


Here they are: Our April Fools' Day headlines fresh from the printing presses of La Politica.

--Guv candidate Diane Denish, worried about securing Democratic votes in the Hispanic North, has decided to become a Catholic, divorce husband Herb and marry Congressman Ben Ray Lujan.

--GOP Guv contender Pete Domenici Jr., concerned that his famous name is not getting the job done, files for a name change. The new name? Gary Johnson.

--R Guv candidate Doug Turner sues Pete Domenici Jr. for having his name changed to Gary Johnson. "There's room for only one clone in this race," declares the ABQ businessman.

--Allen Weh, who has already pledged to take a "baseball bat" to Santa Fe, announces that his new campaign bus will be a Sherman tank.

--The ABQ Chamber of Commerce, a chief supporter of the failed food tax, will now push for a tax on cancer patients to balance the state budget. "How much money will they really need for the future?" asks the biz group.

--State Auditor Hector Balderas surprised the capitol with the announcement that the state's budget has been balanced. "I visited Manny Aragon in prison, and he told me where all the money was. Our problems are over!" Balderas told the AP.

--Declaring he "loves New Mexico too much to leave," Governor Richardson announced that he has turned down a firm offer to become head of the motion picture association at a salary of $14 million a year. Instead, Richardson will run for lieutenant governor. Brian Colon will be his campaign manager.

--PNM, citing the tough economic times, pledges to ask for only 16 electric rate increases in the coming year, rather than the usual 23.

--NM House Speaker Ben Lujan has written to the Vatican, asking that Governor Richardson be considered for sainthood. The letter was not signed by first lady Barbara Richardson.

--The ABQ Public Schools, reacting to severe budget problems, says it will close the entire system for a year. "We want to see if anyone notices," Superintendent Winston Brooks told reporters.

--The University of New Mexico joined APS in closing its doors for a year, with a notable exception. UNM athletics will continue. Department director Paul Krebs will be paid a salary of $8 million a year; basketball coach Alford will get $7 million. UNM President Schmidly will double his salary to over $1 million, but agrees to pay for weekly lunches with the school's soon-to-be laid off janitors.

--New ABQ Mayor RJ Berry has suddenly resigned. "If I knew how screwed up things were, I would never have run in the first place." He said. No city councilor would agree to succeed Berry. He was replaced by Public Safety Director Darren White who immediately placed the city under martial law.

--Congressman Martin Heinrich (D-NM) held a news conference to detail his major accomplishment in his first year in office. "I am pleased to announce that 48 percent of the voters now know how to pronounce my name. If re-elected, I pledge to get that number up to 65 percent." Delcared Heinrich.

--Under growing pressure to balance the budget, Big Bill has agreed to partially repeal the generous 2003 state personal income tax cuts. But Richardson is insisting that anyone who ever gave him a campaign contribution be exempted, and that only taxpayers with income over $600,000 a year pay any additional tax. The LFC estimates 14 taxpayers would be impacted.

--The ABQ Journal is still publishing, according to a statement from the newspaper. In other media news, KRQE-TV confirms that Dick Knipfing is still alive; KOB-TV says Tom Joles is not being preserved with formhaldehyde; the Santa Fe New Mexican is now the official Socialist Workers Party newsletter and TV reporter Stuart Dyson says just about all the 2010 candidates are "either gay, in the mob or on the take." He was quick to add: "Not that there's anything wrong with that."

--This just in: Allen Weh has quit the race for Governor after being told the chief executive does not have the power to organize firing squads.

--More breaking news: Budget cutting state Senator John Arthur Smith has announced his support for that Chamber of Commerce proposal to tax cancer patients to balance the state budget. However, Smith is calling for the tax to be extended to Alzheimer patients, who he says will agree to pay their tax more than once.

--The New Mexico State Police have issued an all points bulletin to locate the following individuals who have not been heard from for several years: Attorney General Gary King, State Treasurer James Lewis and State House Majority Leader Kenny Martinez. A reward is not being offered.

--Roswell State Senator Rod Adair and former state Rep. Dan Foley have divorced. The split was described as amicable. Adair was given custody of the faction of the NM Republican Party that caused its destruction.

--State Democratic Party Chairman Javier Gonzales...Who?

--The State Investment Council tells us the $13 billion in the state's permanent funds has been deposited in offshore banks in the Bahamas and will henceforth be administered by Bill Richardson's campaign manager with assistance from financial advisor Marc Correa. "That's pretty much been the policy the past couple of years. We just wanted to formalize it," said an office spokesman.

And there you have it, but this being New Mexico, we can't guarantee that some of these April Fools' Day headlines won't actually become reality.

This is the home of New Mexico politics. Email your news and comments, anonymously if you wish. Interested in advertising here? Drop us a line.

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