With that in mind, we present more findings from our exclusive, scientific survey conducted for us by longtime pollster Bruce Donisthorpe of BWD Global:
TOP VOTING ISSUE: Jobs came in as the top voting issue with 49%, followed by education (16%), crime (15%), the Albuquerque Police Department (10%) and Environment at 8%.
Republican voters cited jobs (65%) at a higher rate than Democrats (39%) and independents (36%)
In the Mayor’s race: Mayor Berry has a solid lead over Democrat Pete Dinelli among jobs voters (72-17), education (64-23) and crime (64-16) voters.
Dinelli has the lead over Berry among environment (51-26) and APD (46-30) voters. Heh, a former APD officer, scores highest among voters who rate APD as the most important issue. He gets 11% of them.
The Mayor leads in all sectors of the city. On the West Side, he beats Dinelli by a 65-24 margin. In the Valley, Berry is ahead 42-38. In the SE and Mid-NE Heights, Berry has a 51-32 lead over Dinelli. The Mayor has a commanding 72-17 lead in the NE Heights. The Democrat-leaning Valley has the highest percentage of undecided voters at 14%.
PERSONAL ECONOMIC SITUATION: We asked respondents if they were better off or worse off economically than they were four years ago. 38% said they were better off, while 37% said they were worse off. About 23% said they were about the same.
In the Mayor’s race: Berry has large lead over Dinelli among voters who are better off (78-15) and about the same (66-26). Voters who are worse off economically still favor the Mayor, but it’s by a much smaller margin at 42-37.
A BRIGHT FUTURE
VIEW OF ALBUQUERQUE’S FUTURE: We asked likely voters if they had a favorable or unfavorable view of Albuquerque’s future. About 69% responded favorable, while 20% said unfavorable. 11% were undecided. About 75% of GOP voters had a favorable view, compared to 67% of independent voters and 63% of Dem voters.
In the Mayor’s race, Berry’s lead among favorable voters was 71-20 over Dinelli. Those expressing an unfavorable view supported Dinelli by a 44-33 margin. Voters who were unsure supported the Mayor by a 51-30 rate.
As we reported this week, in our poll Berry led Dinelli 61 to 26 with Republican Paul Heh getting 5% and 8 percent undecided. The election is October 8, with early voting now underway.
We polled 452 likely voters via automatic phone calls. The margin of error is 4.6%.
Updated Crosstabs for our mayoral and issues poll are here. Crosstabs for City Council District 7 are here..
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