Wednesday, November 21, 2007Cash Counting Congressional Candidates Flex Financial Muscle; How Far Will It Take Them? Plus: More On The Pearce Millions, And: Happy Thanksgiving!![]() Tinsley has a ranch in Capitan in Lincoln County and a second home in Santa Fe. He came in second in the GOP 2002 primary when the seat was last open. Steve Pearce won that primary and the general election. He is now leaving the House to seek a Senate seat. Tinsley's first run is a six man field didn't do much for his name ID, according to insider polling, and he could be vulnerable to a well-financed primary challenge. A line of attack against Tinsley could sound familiar. His potential foes question how much time he spends in that Santa Fe home and out of the 2nd district. Tinsley ran into trouble in '02 when it was pointed out that he had a home on Rio Grande Blvd in ABQ. He says he spends most of his time at the ranch. Because no other well-known or well-financed rivals have emerged, Tinsley is the default front-runner for the GOP nod. The window is still open for other hopefuls, but Tinsley hopes to give them second thoughts by showing some early money muscle. So far, it appears to be working. HEADING NORTH ![]() If Wiviott is the sole Anglo liberal in the heavily Hispanic and Native American district, he could have a shot at making it, but he has a lot of work to do to persuade party insiders. Money will help get their attention and return his phone calls, but money will be no substitute for building the important personal relationships with potential convention delegates. The early front-runner in Northern contest is Ben Ray Lujan, Public Regulation Commissioner and the son of the NM House Speaker. Will Ben Ray's longtime friend, former Santa Fe County commissioner Javier Gonzales, emerge as his toughest foe? Gonzales has hired the polling firm Greenberg Quinlan Rossner--also used by Big Bill--to help guide him. Lujan is already making phone calls to party insiders, lining up support for the pre-primary. Gonzales has no district wide name ID and faces the prospect of running a negative campaign against Ben Ray, a touchy subject in the La Familia atmosphere of the Spanish North. THE PEARCE MILLIONS We blogged Monday that GOP US Rep. Steve Pearce has an ace in the hole when it comes to his contest for the R's US Senate nomination--his personal fortune. Like any candidate, Pearce hopes he doesn't have to tape his own money, but if he does, several readers pointed out that a new federal rule would give Heather a bit of protection, We dug this up from a Utah news report on the "millionaire exemption." It kicks in if a candidate like Pearce comes with big personal dollars Under a complicated FEC rule, after any candidate gives his own campaign more than $350,000 in a defined "election cycle," that triggers special FEC reporting requirements and, experts say, can also allow his competitors to take individual donations of up to $6,300. As we said, that's a bit of protection for challengers of wealthy candidates, but not much. What if the millionaire comes with a huge TV buy a couple of weeks before the election and triggers the exemption? That wouldn't give his foe much time to start collecting donations above the normally allowed amount. THE BOTTOM LINES ![]() Happy Thanksgiving to you. We're thankful for your interest in what we do around here. Your emailed news and comments are always welcome. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2007 Not for reproduction without permission of the author |
![]() |