Thursday, May 15, 2025State Broadband Director Demoted As Drive For High Speed Rural Internet Drags On; State Stuck On Fiber While Satellites Beam; Opportunity Knocks As Feds Switch Gears, Plus: Monahan And Radio's Richard Eeds Break Down Major Political RacesThis appears to be an an ideal time for Gov. Lujan Grisham to attempt a course correction in how rural New Mexico will finally gain full internet access. She has grown tired of her acting director at the Broadband Office, Drew Lovelace, and sent him back to his previous position as operations manager. A search has been launched for a new director. The change comes in the wake of the legislature failing to approve a special $70 million appropriation for home satellite internet, a proposal that percolated up because of the many years it is taking to lay expensive fiber optic lines in rural areas. The $70 million was a stop-gap measure, providing internet to 95,000 locations while they waited for fiber. Frankly, we missed that the money had not been approved. Without it the long process of installing fiber--with $675 million in federal grant money--is the only option. Doing so is expected to take years and some places will never be served because of accessibility issues. President Trump's Commerce Department is not a fan of the all-fiber playbook, announcing in March they are rewriting the rules that federal funding go only to fiber and will assist the states to implement satellite delivery. That's an opportunity the state should not pass up since it would mean high speed internet for deprived households in the here and now--not years from now or possibly never. The telecommunications lobby whose major companies lay down the expensive fiber is powerful and resistance to satellite remains vigorous even though satellite speeds are more than adequate for the vast majority of rural residents including students needing to advance their educations. Santa Fe was obviously wrong in rejecting the $70 million for satellite to get the ball rolling. Their constituents are being punished. Perhaps that's because Elon Musk, reviled by Democrats, owns Starlink, the leading company for satellite internet. Whatever the reason, the door is open for the Governor to start putting things right with a new Broadband Director who can go back to the drawing board with the legislature but also have an open mind in dealing with DC to get those federal broadband funds redirected. Why should New Mexico's next generation be sold short while bureaucrats, Musk opponents and stubborn legislators deprive them of a vital educational tool? They shouldn't. MONAHAN RADIO The mayoral races in ABQ and Santa Fe, the contest for Governor and all things in between are covered in this lively 20 minute radio interview on KTRC Santa Fe with Joe Monahan and host Richard Eeds. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Wednesday, May 14, 2025Trump's Hispanic Support Whipsaws; Election Day Support Wilts With Economy, Plus: Meshing La Politica With China; Author Of New Book Has Lived Both
His breakthrough in New Mexico last year when he lost the state by six points but performed better than any Republican presidential candidate here since was widely credited to improved support among Hispanic men and his visit to ABQ to rally the troops. But as with most everything with this President, his Hispanic support is proving to be topsy-turvy. The latest: Trump’s approval rating among Hispanic voters dipped to 34 percent in the latest Reuters/Ipsos poll.The poll shows a 3-point decline from the 37 percent of Hispanic voters who said they approved of the president in January. Trump’s disapproval rating among Hispanic voters, meanwhile, jumped 7 points, from 54 percent in January to 61 percent in April. Overall, the latest poll shows 42 percent of Americans approved of the job the president is doing, compared to 53 percent who disapproved. Hispanic voters represented a key voting bloc for the president in 2024. While the majority of Hispanic voters backed former Vice President Kamala Harris, 46 percent supported Trump’s bid — a 14-point increase from the support he won from Hispanic voters in 2020. Many point to the boost in Hispanic support for Trump as pivotal to his victory in 2024. It seems Trump's Hispanic support here and elsewhere is largely dependent on the state of the economy going forward. That, in turn, will be crucial to Republican efforts to try to win back the southern congressional seat held by Dem Rep. Gabe Vasquez and be competitive in the '26 Guv race. BEJING BOUND Longtime reader Glenn Loveland writes of his experience in New Mexico politics, his time in China and his new book:Joe, Back in 1999, I was slinging lattes at the Starbucks near ABQ's Journal Center when I landed an internship in Sen. Pete Domenici’s office. That summer gig led to a position with Rep. Tom Udall’s team, where I eventually became press secretary. After I left Tom's office, I returned to Albuquerque and worked for John Cordova at Cordova Public Relations. But here’s where it gets interesting. In 2007 I moved to Beijing where I spent the next 13 years watching China’s transformation firsthand. I’ve just published a memoir about those years, Bejing Bound. While it’s primarily about life in pre-Olympic Beijing, there’s a healthy dose of D.C. backstory that would resonate with your readers who remember the national politics of that era (George W. Bush administration, etc.). As we face Trump 2.0 and renewed tensions with China, I thought you might appreciate hearing from someone who went from writing press releases about New Mexico water rights to navigating the complexities of U.S.-China relations. The view from Beijing of American politics was, let’s say, unique. I’ve remained a faithful reader of your blog all these years—there’s nothing quite like New Mexico politics, and nobody captures its peculiarities better than you do. Good to hear from you, Glenn. Beijing Bound is available at all retailers and at Amazon. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Tuesday, May 13, 2025Major Underpinning Of New Mexico Welfare State Back In Spotlight As Congressional Cuts Eye Massive Medicaid Program; State Has Protections In Place; Better Jobs And Higher Wages Needed To Reduce RollsA major underpinning of New Mexico's modern welfare state is back in the spotlight with the Republican controlled congress eyeing cuts to the Medicaid program that now provides insurance for 830,000 residents in our state or 40 percent of the entire population of 2.1 million. That's the highest per capita rate in the USA. State spending on Medicaid is about $2.2 billion with the Feds kicking in another $11 billion. With an entrenched low wage economy as well as stubborn generational poverty, the number of those eligible for Medicaid has remained very sticky. And New Mexico takes very seriously its commitment to the program. This past legislative session lawmakers approved a blunt instrument to make up for any federal Medicaid cuts that win approval. A Medicaid Trust Fund, financed from revenues from the oil boom, was established and will eventually reach $2 billion with the first $280 million to start flowing in this year. But what of the bigger picture of reducing the Medicaid rolls by having a better economy with higher paying jobs? Eligibility for Medicaid kicks in when an individual makes less than $20,000 a year and $41,000 for a family of four. That is a somewhat shocking reveal of just how many households here dangle by a thread financially. One of the proposals in the congressional bill would . . . .. .Require Medicaid recipients to work, volunteer or attend school for 80 hours a month. The requirement would apply to most able-bodied adults through age 64 without dependents and includes exceptions for pregnant women, people with substance-use disorders and others. That may sound draconian to some but there may be an opportunity there. Could that volunteer time be coordinated with private sector employers through the Workforce Solutions Department to give the "volunteers" more exposure to the job market? And that 80 hours a month to attend school. Could that lean into providing more training for skilled trades? In a weekend appearance on Face the Nation, MLG engaged in some hyperbole regarding the impact of the proposed cuts here. (Video.) She did say, however, that the expensive program could stand for more "efficiencies." Does she have a plan to pursue them? If so, add them to the mix to protect a program vital to the state's health and well-being. New Mexico's fortunate financial position gives the state breathing room if Medicaid is trimmed. It also gives the state time to think longer term about creating opportunities and a better economy that would lessen dependence on Medicaid and the whims of DC. SPECIAL REPORT We asked KOB-TV Assignment Editor Mike Anderson for more info on that special report the station did on the APD DWI bribery scandal. The broadcast broke new ground. The full story is here including an interactive board. There are three nine minute video portions to the report and they are here. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Monday, May 12, 2025"You Can't Beat Somebody With Nobody"; So Go Races For ABQ And Santa Fe Mayor In Early Going As Webber Still Toys With Third Term
You've got to hand it to Santa Fe Mayor Alan Webber for knowing how to drive his critics crazy. At his state of the city speech coming less than six months before the next mayoral election, Webber again shied away from announcing whether he would seek a third four year term. But neither did he sound like a sentimental, soon to retire politico. (Video here.) Despite what Wikpedia says Webber has not declared that he is seeking re-election in November even as six candidates have filed for the office. The progressive mayor conveniently employed Trump as his whipping boy in his speech, saying his administration represents "nothing less than an assault on justice" while Santa Fe is "steadfast in our commitment to justice." Webber, 76, also staunchly defended the city's status as a sanctuary city, declaring that "Santa Fe's values remain intact." In uber-progressive Santa Fe that is a rallying cry. With a list of mayoral contenders mostly nameless to the voting public, the speech may have struck fear in the hearts as they wait for Webber to make a decision about running again. Webber's speech was well-written and well-delivered. That he showed a calm self-assurance was additional cause for concern from his foes. The elephant in the city remains the increase in drugs, crime, homelessness and a general sense that Santa Fe is adrift and/or too passive toward these challenges. By conventional wisdom Webber and ABQ Mayor Tim Keller, who is off and running for a third term, should probably be done because of crime and the resulting decline in the quality of life in their respective cities, but the contests have failed to draw popular personalities or any outstanding leaders from business or government. If Webber joins Keller in running for a third term, the campaigns may come down to the old cliche "you can't beat somebody with nobody." That is unless one of the nobodies fast becomes a somebody. GOVERNOR OR PRESIDENT? On the race for Governor reader Abraham Keyvan-Chavez writes: Hi Joe: the type of governor New Mexico needs is someone that is not going to try to use the office as a stepping stone to run for President, be a VP pick, or secure a cabinet position when a new president is inaugurated in 2029. All governors in my lifetime (I was born in '93) had ambitions for higher office, only to crash and burn because they used all of their leverage to pursue that and did not use it to address the mounting problems in our state. On the Democratic side, I feel Deb Haaland is running so she can pursue being a VP pick for the ticket in 2028. Her opponents in the primary can leverage that against her. If Halaand does end up winning the primary, whoever takes the GOP primary can also paint her as yet another gubernatorial candidate that wants to go (in this case go back) to DC. In a year that's looking to be a Democratic wave, this could be an effective tool for the GOP to win the governor's mansion in 2026. Thanks, Abraham. Agree that NM Governors turning around and running for higher office as soon as they are sworn in is a bad habit the state needs to shake. As for Haaland pulling that maneuver, your crystal ball is a lot less foggy than ours. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Thursday, May 08, 2025Glimmer Of Hope As USA Announces Biggest Fentanyl Bust Yet; ABQ And Santa Fe At Center Of Action; Millions Of Pills Confiscated In State Dealing With Drug Scourge; Key Question: Will There Be More Interdiction Ahead?Now if there were only more of them. That was one reaction from Mr. and Mrs. New Mexico as US Attorney General Pam Bondi announced the biggest fentanyl bust in US history in which four million fentanyl pills and other drugs and cash were confiscated across five states, including a huge batch of 2.7 million pills in ABQ and another large haul in Santa Fe. The bust was a rare victory in what long ago was called the war on drugs but has turned into more of a scuffle as the Sinola Cartel and others have come to dominate the trafficking with little resistance. New Mexicans have seen the deadly consequences close up with a large swath of ABQ's SE Heights turned over to drugs and crime. There is now the ubiquitous sight of drug addicts nodding off in the streets in the middle of the day and worse. (Here's a video of that life from producer Pablito Herrera.) Santa Fe is a relative newcomer to the fentanyl scourge but the big bust caught a drug dealer there with 110,000 fentanyl pills and $80,000 in cash in his Rufina Street house, again sending the message that the capital city has more than a nuisance on their hands. Many argue the war on the cartels is futile and that drug and behavioral health treatment (and housing) will solve the problem. But that ignores a salient point--the less drugs available the less that can be consumed and that will have an impact on the rate and severity of addiction--and thus crime and homelessness. An all of the above approach--including aggressive law enforcement--is vital. And making this a Trump-Biden issue gets us nowhere. The state has seen a drop in overdose deaths but drug usage remains very high. The drug naloxone has much to do with that lower death rate. A recent WalletHub report pointed to New Mexico as having the highest rate of drug use among teenagers, a report questioned by some experts but there is no doubt that it is high and fertile ground for the next generation to be captured by the cartels. Consistent interdiction by law enforcement is essential if ABQ and now Santa Fe are going to be cleaned up. The key word being consistent and not just one headline grabbing bust every few years. The five state bust announced this week revived memories of one in ABQ in
September 2022 by the FBI and that netted one million fentanyl
pills. But there was little follow-up. If New Mexico wants to dig out of the drug mess it must lose the prevailing cynicism that the "war on drugs" is an antiquated notion and that a soft touch alone will stop the death and dysfunction. It won't. CAMPAIGN CHATTER Drugs and crime will be an agenda leader in the race for ABQ mayor this year but first the 11 candidates who have filed for the post must gather enough signatures to make the ballot and qualify for public financing or raise private money. To do that they have hired the hired guns. Former US Attorney Alex Uballez signed Roadrunner Strategies consultants Dylan McArthur and Brandon Padilla to run his campaign, but in a sudden switch they are already gone. Roadrunner says the firm was not fired but left because there was an unspecified "potential conflict of interest" and that they wish Uballez "all the best." Of course, that didn't stop the competing campaigns from some negative whispering about the early personnel turnover. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Wednesday, May 07, 2025Tipping Point: Major State Oil Player Calls Production Peak For Permian Basin; Historic Oil Gusher Has Underpinned State Budgets For Years; What's Next? We're Back On The Econ BeatThe recent plunge in oil prices comes with an alarming forecast from one of the key players in the Permian Basin in NM and Texas that is so vital to the state's financial future. Diamondback Energy, the largest independent oil producer in the Permian, has called the peak of oil production there. The Permian has propelled America to become the world's leading oil producer while filling New Mexico's coffers with previously unimaginable sums of money, making possible a massive increase in the state budget and sustaining the economies of SE NM. Because of the long oil shale boom, the state's various Permanent Funds have exploded to $60 billion in a state with a population that for years has hovered around 2 million. More on the Diamondback prediction amid falling oil prices: The largest independent oil producer in the Permian Basin says production has likely peaked in America’s prolific shale fields and will decline in the months ahead after crude prices plummeted. The Texas company trimmed its own full-year production forecast and said to investors that it expects onshore oil rigs across the entire US industry to drop by almost 10% by the end of the second quarter and fall further in the months after.
from Diamondback, one of the industry’s most prominent producers, marks a key shift for expectations within the sector. Before oil prices started plunging last month, most banks and research firms had forecast US shale production would grow this year and next before plateauing later in the decade. The Permian, they said, was apt to peak in the late 2020s or early 2030s depending on prices. This doesn't mean that New Mexico is about to experience a financial crash as it has previously when oil prices and production have cratered. But it does signal that the go-go budget years are history and that the amount of money coming from the Permian is beginning what will be a long but slow decline. Enormous surpluses already set aside give the state plenty of breathing room to deal with this new energy paradigm. Also, the state recently raised certain royalty rates for oil and gas production from 20 percent to 25 percent. Unlike previous booms fracking has been employed to get more oil out of the ground. It has been less expensive than other methods. New oil wells, however, will be more expensive to develop because of higher costs and will be less profitable at lower oil prices. Energy royalties and taxes have come to finance 40 percent of the state budget which for the next fiscal is $10.8 billion. That's about 75 percent higher than the $6.2 billion budget approved in 2018, seven years ago. One noticeable impact of that plenty has been the expansive funding for early childhood education and subsequent improvement in the state's rankings. Critics however, continue to point to the state's overall low ratings in key areas despite the massive cash influx. ALSO WATCHING. . . Other developments the econ watches are keeping an eye on are tourism and federal spending, Tourism, a cornerstone of the state economy, especially Santa Fe and the north, is about to take a hit from the decline in international travel. Canada backing away from the USA over policy and nervousness from overseas tourists about coming here will be felt this summer on the Plazas of Santa Fe and Taos. Then there's the state's crucial federal funding as the Trump administration looks everywhere for budget cuts. Uncertainty is the order of the day. While the national labs--Sandia and Los Alamos--appear to be a safe harbor (if there is such a thing) other federal agencies and programs have more exposure to possible cuts. If permanent NM cuts will come and when is up in the air as the DC chaos continues. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Tuesday, May 06, 2025DWI Scandal Question Lingers: Why Is Media Coverage Of Federal Plea Hearings For Guilty APD Cops So Scant?, Plus: Senior City Councilor Defends Performance Of APD Chief Medina
KRQE-TV attempted to get an explanation from the Federal Court and the US Attorney's office on why
the numerous plea bargain hearings for APD officers snared in the
DWI bribery investigation are not being publicized. That's so the station and
other media can show (and question) the disgraced cops and their
attorneys entering the Federal building and also listen in on the plea
hearings where the public is allowed but cameras are not.
The explanation offered may be disconcerting to open government advocates: Chief Deputy of the U.S. District Court, Heather Small, explained that because prosecutors are filing the charging document in conjunction with the officers’ plea, the court can’t assign a case number to establish the officers’ case until the plea hearing actually occurs. . .According to the U.S. Attorney’s Office. . .the people admitting to their roles in the scheme have skipped the judge and jury, waiving their right to a grand jury as part of the plea agreement. That means the charges aren’t filed until the plea happens, so there is nothing for the public to view in court databases before the officers appear in court. "Nothing for the public to view in court databases?" Perhaps the Chief Deputy and the public information officer at the USA's office can make hearings that are scheduled on short notice known to the media and other interested parties by simple phone calls or messages? That's an old school "database" that works quite well. The lack of coverage of the hearings has raised suspicions that unlike other federal defendants, the APD bribery cops are being given special treatment. Soon the sentencing hearings will begin for the guilty officers. Those should be in the database beforehand and the public's right to know (and see) not blocked. BACKING THE CHIEF
I want to commend you for all the work that you’ve done. You’ve been asked to reduce crime, you reduced crime. You’ve asked to get DOJ out of the city Albuquerque. You’re in the process of getting them out. You implemented speeding cameras which has helped to reduce speeding, although it’s still a persistent problem. We put ShotSpotter throughout the city. That’s another tool that we’ve been able to utilize to identify guns and there’s people that have been caught as a result. We did just had a community conversation that you were at. You were at some community events that I was at recently. It was just a small survey but it was done for District 3. The people who responded to that survey said that they feel safe in their community and that they feel that law enforcement is responding to their concerns. Councilor Peña, elected in 2013, is seeking a fourth term this year. She is being challenged by retired Navy officer Chris Sedillo. Peña has endorsed Mayor Keller who is seeking a third term at the November election. Her full remarks on Medina can be seen here at the 4 hour 57 mark. As the mayoral race heats up, we remain intent on providing our traditional fair and balanced coverage. RICH KID? A Trump supported candidate for governor of New Mexico? That's laughable especially one with a reputation as a vendido rich kid. All I can respond with is please AG Raul Torrez run for the Democratic nomination for Governor ! You will win in a landslide. Put a little pizazz into the election with all these boring candidates--both Dems and Reps--that are putting me to sleep with their silly antics in their campaigns. But what do you really think, Diane? This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Monday, May 05, 2025Nasty But Necessary: Medina And Sanchez Clash Over Crime As ABQ Mayoral Campaign Gets Lit; APD Chief And Councilor Bicker Over "Disrespect"; What Crime Debate Needs To Focus On, Plus: Et Tu, Santa Fe?
Sanchez, a former cop and one of 11 candidates for mayor in the November mayoral election, understands law enforcement more than most. But his harsh attacks on Medina for wearing casual clothes while addressing the Council and berating him for not "consulting" the panel on the Governor's deployment of the National Guard here were a bit over the top. Still. it could be a starting point for something meaningful for the campaign ahead. We asked APD watchers where the candidates should head. --It's a given that Medina's usefulness as chief is on its last legs. The city needs to look beyond him by extracting a firm commitment from Mayor Keller that--if reelected--Medina will retire or be replaced --and end the chief's game-playing about his future. In other words, a drop dead date for Medina to leave is essential. --The 30 year old APD DWI scandal needs to be woven into the campaign debate and examined for what it reveals about the cultural problems that have made APD into a sometimes unmanageable morass. --Ditto for the over decade-long oversight role of APD by the US Department of Justice that has had little discernible impact on APD. --The candidates need to declare whether they will seek to change APD culture by going outside the department (and outside the state) for a new chief. Upon his first election Mayor Keller launched a national search for a chief only to fall back on the APD culture and insider leadership which then saw the Mayor's power over the rogue agency sucked away. A thorough house cleaning of APD is obviously overdue. But many of the candidates say they support adding more police to the culturally-rotted agency as the primary solution. They are also taking the campaign into a simplistic "back the badge" mentality when the need for a deep cleaning has never been more apparent. Sanchez may have missed the mark some in his heated argument with Medina but if his diatribe fuels a no-holds-barred campaign debate over the future of crime-fighting--thus the future of the city--the Councilor gets a pass.
Each day over the past week, law enforcement officers in and around Santa Fe dealt with gun-related incidents, from accidents to threats to shootings — and even a homicide. Together, they illustrate how firearms have come to play a larger role in resolving many day-to-day conflicts in Santa Fe. . . Deputy Chief Ben Valdez said the prevalence of firearms. . .has increased over the decades. . . In the past, shootings were considered to be “rare incidents” he said. "Our officers (are) seeing a lot more incidents that have individuals that are armed. They’ve even changed the way that they do their response to make sure that they can safely navigate that situation." There's also a mayoral election in Santa Fe this November. Perhaps the City Different needs a jolt to ensure it doesn't fall into a political slumber over their budding crime crisis. What if reputedly unpopular Mayor Alan Webber announces he will seek a third term? The vitriol from his many political foes would surely flow but so might a fierce debate over how the capital city can avoid the fate of its big city neighbor to the south. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Thursday, May 01, 2025A New Generation Faces An Old Scourge; New Study Ranks Teen Drug Abuse Here At Second Worst In The Nation And Overall Drug Use Highest In USA, Plus: A Memorial Banco
New Mexico's generations-long struggle with drug addiction sadly continues into the current one, with a new study reporting that not only does the state have the highest rate of drug abuse in the nation but that the state's teenagers rank first in the nation for the percentage of drug users.
The WalletHub report is devastating for the human tragedy it represents and also because it comes against a backdrop of unimaginable wealth for state government created by the ongoing oil boom. It gets worse. The study confirms what the state knows too well. Drug treatment has failed to keep up with the rampant addiction and ranks New Mexico second in the nation for the number of "adults with unmet drug treatment needs." From the study: New Mexico has the biggest drug problem in the U.S., especially when it comes to teenagers. The state has the highest percentage of teens using illicit drugs and the highest share of teenagers who report having tried marijuana before age 13. New Mexico has the third-highest share of adults who use illicit drugs, as well. New Mexico also lags behind other states when it comes to putting policies in place to discourage drug use or help people overcome it. For example, the state does not have employee drug testing laws, and it has the second-highest share of adults with drug problems who didn’t get treatment. It also has the fifth-highest share of children who lived with anyone who had a problem with alcohol or drugs. The legalization of marijuana here, as we and others futilely warned, has been an epic failure in a state with a fragile population
so prone to drug abuse. The Governor and Legislature finally responded more robustly to the behavioral health crisis this past session, passing a system reboot in hopes of stemming the wave of addiction trapping so many in desperation. The WalletHub study is a stark reminder to policymakers that treatment for teens demands special attention. As for those seeking reasons for the surge in juvenile crime here, the study obviously offers some. New Mexico needs to get addicted to drug treatment, education and prevention and stop idly watching so many of its youth sink out of sight. But you already know that. FRED'S BANCO
A memorial--The Fred Harris Memorial Banco--in honor of the '76 presidential candidate, productive Oklahoma lawmaker and UNM poly sci professor--is now situated at his beloved Barelas Coffee House in ABQ's South Valley. He regularly met there with his buddies to dissect the news of the day as have so many other notable personalities of La Politica. Those friends are responsible for the charming Spanish Colonial style bench crafted in northern New Mexico in Fred's honor and now in the restaurant's lobby. The name plate reads: "Senador, Profesor, y Amigo del pueblo" (Friend of the People) with a commemorative plaque of Harris above. With your blogger at the banco and on the left is CHI St. Joseph's President Allen Sanchez. On the right is longtime state Senator Pete Campos. The photo followed a tasty lunch where we dished up lots of red and the latest mitote including the enduring legacy of Fred Harris. "It's a fine tribute indeed." Remarked Sen. Campos. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Wednesday, April 30, 2025Is Crime Card Enough For Mayoral Challengers? APD Stats Show Large Decrease For First Quarter; Perception Not Reality Could Be Decider; Plus: House Speaker Endorses Keller In Battle For Progressive Vote, And: Field Grows to 11 Contenders
"Lies, damned lies, and statistics." How often have we heard that old saw in relation to crime here and elsewhere?
The disconnect between what is reality according to law enforcement and what people feel is a very real phenomenon and will be central to the race for ABQ mayor. The list of challengers hoping to replace Mayor Tim Keller, who is seeking a third consecutive term, has now grown to ten. That's right. Double digits. That's the most mayoral candidates we can recall since the modern form of government was adopted in 1974 and when over 30 candidates competed to become the first mayor. All ten challengers (if they make the ballot) will be pounding the table over crime, the one issue that rises above the rest--as is usually the case in a city with a very long history of a crime rate above the national average. The difference in recent years has been the rise to even higher levels. But there are signs that the city in 2025 is finally getting a break in key crime categories as reported by APD. Is it for real? Is crime really going down or have the number of people reporting crimes stopped reporting them out of fear, frustration over slow police response or because they want to avoid a hike in their insurance rates? When it comes to the homicide rate, there is no question it is down. Murder rarely goes unreported. --Through March of this year APD records 11 homicides compared to the same time last year when there were 21. That's a 48 percent plunge. --APD stats show a 46 percent dive in auto theft so far this year from 1,738 to 914, a change of 47 percent. --Residential burglaries have dropped 19 percent for the first quarter of the year compared to last year. --Robberies, says APD, are down 37 percent, from 234 to 148. Candidates seeking to replace Keller may or may not argue with those stats. Some will surely point out that while the crime rate is coming down, it is declining from record high levels and is still at an unacceptable rate. MORE CONCENTRATION? Something else appears to be happening on the ABQ crime front, at least anecdotally. Crime seems to be even more concentrated in the SE Heights International District ("War Zone"). Will the stats (if they continue to show a crime drop) and the concentration of crime in the SE Heights and not the city at large be recognized by voters as their personal reality, making it tougher on the tough on crime candidates? Years ago when I was advising former Governor Dave Cargo who was then running for ABQ mayor, I asked him why New Mexico was not more aroused by the high levels of poverty and crime. He answered, "Joe, it's because they don't see it." How much the electorate sees and feels the city's crime problem (as well as homelessness) will be as important in this election as those APD stats showing the crime rate going in the right direction. The bottom line? Perception is often reality. NATIONAL GUARD Gov. Lujan Grisham's controversial deployment of the National Guard to ABQ to aid in the fight against crime led to this NYT piece piece in which residents weighed the pros and con. FIGHT FOR PROGRESSIVES
I'm backing Mayor Tim Keller for re-election. As your Speaker, a lifelong Albuquerque resident, and the son of immigrants, I know how tough these times are. That’s why we need a mayor with Tim’s experience . . . and to stand up to Trump’s agenda. . . Through Trump 1.0, COVID, and national crises around crime and homelessness, Tim delivered: more affordable housing than any mayor in city history, the nation’s first social worker-led 911 response (ACS), and the city’s first comprehensive homelessness system that’s helping thousands off the streets. Tim Keller is battle-tested, results-driven—and the best-positioned candidate to win in November. Let’s keep moving Albuquerque forward. The latest and 11th official candidate in the mayoral race is Daniel Chavez, a parking lot owner who has now filed his paperwork with the city. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Tuesday, April 29, 2025Ben Ray Lujan Preps Re-elect; Spokesman Confirms Run For Second Term; No GOP Foes Yet; After Powerhouse House Career Lujan's Future Senate Course Is Weighed
That ABQ Dem Rep. Melanie Stansbury was mentioned here a a possible replacement if Lujan chose to step away might have his office stepping on the gas. There are also plenty of others on the Democratic bench who would jump in if Lujan were to beg off. We have watched senate re-election decisions closely over the years and with caution. Before they went public with their decisions not to seek re-election, Senators Pete Domenici, Tom Udall and Jeff Bingaman were all very coy, probably to avoid looking as weak lame ducks. That's why an unequivocal statement direct from the candidate is preferred. But we'll take the Lujan spokesman's comment at face value while also mentioning that Ben Ray has a robust $2.075 million in campaign cash on hand, signaling his run for a second six year term. The senator recently held a town hall where he looked and acted every bit the candidate as he fielded questions from a crowd of Santa Fe liberals concerned about the Trump administration. He also conducted a business roundtable in ABQ on Trumps tariffs as he steps up his activity for this election cycle. Lujan is not a firebrand and favors a centrist approach while voting his party's line. That positions him to take advantage of Trump's unpopularity within his party while still appealing to those outside that circle. Republicans have not indicated they will mount a serous challenge and he starts as a heavy favorite for re-election. HEADY DAYS
He was picked in 2014 as the chairman of the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee (DCCC). He soon was a regular national media presence, guiding the Dems in 2016 to to a six seat pick up in the House. In 2018 the big payoff came when Lujan presided over the campaign that took back the House from the Republicans. Lujan's chief talent is not legislating but political strategy and party leadership. In 2018 he rose to the rank of Assistant House Speaker (formerly known as Assistant Majority Leader) under his mentor Speaker Nancy Pelosi. Those were heady days for the native New Mexican and some observers thought he might stay put in the House with an eye toward an even higher leadership slot and more power. But the lure of an open senate seat could not be resisted. Lujan's rise slowed in the Senate. He said the stroke he suffered in early 2022 "changed his perspective." He was recently named to the powerful Senate Finance Committee as he regroups. The question is whether Lujan's ultimate promise will manifest itself in the Senate. Is he again on track to accumulate more power for the state or will his career be more low key? An answer will come in due time, one supposes. At 52, Lujan is a veritable teenybopper in the aged Senate, a place where the long game is your ace in the hole. Lujan's '26 campaign will not only feature a jousting over ideas but also reveal just how deep his ambition still burns. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Monday, April 28, 2025Haaland Vs. Sanchez? Political Pros Now See That Match-Up As The Mostly Likely For '26 Governor Race
Former Sec. of Interior Haaland launched her campaign for the Democratic nomination in February. Her main challenger is Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman, a colorful personality who overplayed his hand when he announced his candidacy on horseback and in full cowboy regalia. His urban background made that a bridge too far and he now has ground to make up. The expected entry into the contest by conservative Democrat and former Las Cruces Mayor Ken Miyagishima will be another burden for Bregman as he battles his party's large progressive wing and as Miyagishima brings some intriguing ideas to the table. This competition for the nonprogressive vote will give Haaland, 64, breathing room to polish her campaign which has been criticized for its low energy optics and ambiguous reasoning over why she wants to be Governor. Sanchez, according to long-term reliable sources, is now expected to announce a candidacy (in June?) and would immediately become the front-runner for the GOP nomination. This would be his second time carrying the party banner. He snared the nomination way back in 2002 and then suffered a general election defeat at the hands of Bill Richardson. A GOP consultant tracking it all tells us: Republican insiders believe that Sanchez should have little trouble dispatching Republican hopeful and Rio Rancho Mayor Gregg Hull in next year's primary. Former Supreme Court Justice Judith Nakamura is giving conflicting signals about making a run. THE SANCHEZ ANGLE
The Martinez wing of the party has nothing but contempt for Sanchez but stopping him would be a formidable task especially since the possibility of a Trump endorsement of Sanchez looms large. During the 2020 campaign Trump named him as his Hispanic
Prosperity Initiative chairman and praised him at a White House ceremony Martinez, Nakamura et al. are on the outside looking in on Trump whose endorsement either publicly or quietly would go a long way toward Sanchez securing a big win at the GOP preprimary convention next March. That, in turn, would boost his momentum heading into the June primary. We first covered Sanchez's possible entry into the '26 race in January including reporting on his past political travails. Since then signals and chatter that he is getting in have grown stronger with the crescendo building. While Sanchez is hopeful he can turn around the stranded Republican ship, it remains a gargantuan task because of the party's historic decline here in the past decade. Sanchez is an affable personality with broad appeal in the GOP, probably making the nomination not much more than a lay up. Actually taking the state's seat of power away from the Democrats will be a longshot. But as Dylan sang: "When you ain't got nothing, you got nothing to lose." This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. Thursday, April 24, 2025Years Of Child Abuse And State Government Incompetence Brings Forth An AG Investigation Into Child Welfare; Guv Not Pleased But Torrez Says Public "Tired" Of Repeated Failures, Plus: Two Women On '26 Guv Ticket?
I will not tolerate the excuses, the assurances. I think we have all
grown tired of waking up and hearing about another child who’s been
injured, another child who’s been hurt, another child in state custody
who’s been killed. The Governor was not happy about it but she brought this upon herself by continually ignoring the crisis of maltreatment of children by resisting reform and by appointing agency leaders not up to the job. Still, her denial remains as thick as a brick: Progressives in the legislature also share blame for looking the other way for years as the Democratic Governor tried to sweep CYFD's systemic failure under the rug. They woke up this year. But the political system, as maddeningly slow as it can be, is now responding as the AG calls out CYFD's dreadful performance and its penchant for nondisclosure. The investigation offers an opportunity for the public to get a holistic look at CYFD instead of a hodge podge of reports on horrific abuse cases and agency incompetence. It could also put an end to splintered legislative efforts to do something--do anything--about the breakdown and could present the opportunity for a comprehensive reform package. The Governor's legacy has been blackened by her stubbornness to confront the crisis but it isn't too late to lighten that stain if she stops her solo resistance movement and joins with Torrez to clean up and clean out one of the worst and longest running examples of government incompetence. TICKET BALANCING Las Cruces attorney Israel Chavez reacts to chatter that an all woman Governor and Lt. Governor Democratic ticket in 2026 might not be balanced:Joe, it’s sad to think that in New Mexico, where we are raised and governed by our mothers, tias, and abuelitas, that someone could think that we wouldn’t elect an all female ticket. Stephanie Garcia Richard is a formidable candidate, has transformed the land commissioner's office and fought successfully to pass an oil and gas royalty increase for the first time in decades. If folks recall, she was the underdog in the land commissioner's race nearly eight years ago. She’s the first woman and Latina to hold that office in state history. And people said a teacher couldn’t do it. As a son of a teacher, I can tell you that a teacher can do anything they set their mind to, including run and win the race for Lieutenant governor. Deb Haaland is the front-runner for the '26 Democratic gubernatorial nomination. She faces a primary challenge from BernCo District Attorney Sam Bregman. Garcia Richard is the first announced candidate for the Dem nomination for lieutenant governor. There has never been an all female ticket for the state's top two offices. This is the Home of New Mexico Politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. |
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