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Wednesday, November 17, 2021

MLG And The Treacherous Politics Of Covid, Plus: Key Endorsements In ABQ Council Runoffs And More Tax Talk Over State Surplus  

Our Alligators are reporting that former three term ABQ Mayor Martin Chavez, 69, will be named a "czar" for some of the federal money coming into the state. More details expected later today.

She aced Covid for well over a year but now the virus is back in a big way and washing away political gains MLG made. She no longer appears at the state media briefings or comments regularly on the explosion of Covid that has vaulted New Mexico to the top of afflicted states. Instead, she is on defense, arguing with the Colorado governor who repudiated her continued use of indoor mask mandates as a means of quelling the contagion.

Covid is out of her control and that of the health experts but if history is a guide the latest outbreak will soon peak. Whether there will be another is unknowable.

What we do know is that MLG's handing of the virus is no longer routinely hailed because of those freshly crowded ICU units and that red state governors who have done little to combat Covid are no longer dismissed. 

A reader reports: 

Florida (FL) has a population of 21.48 million. NM has a population of 2.097 million. So NM’s population is 1/10 the population of FL. As of Monday, November 15 the NYT reports NM had a 7 day average of 1,383 COVID cases per day. Similarly, FL had 1,471 cases per day. That’s roughly the same as NM but with roughly 10 times the population. Said another way, NM should have about 147 cases per day. Something is really not making sense here. What does (Florida Governor) DeSantis know that MLG does not? Inquiring minds would like to know? 

DeSantis probably doesn't know anymore than MLG. In fact, the death rate from the virus is 247 per 100,000 population in New Mexico, less than the 283 recorded by Florida. 

Covid is so wily and treacherous that the politics of the pandemic have turned into the luck of the draw.

COUNCIL ACTION

Powdrell
Checking in on the December 7 runoff elections for ABQ City Council Districts 7 and 9 in the NE Heights we find some key endorsements.

In District 9 where Dem Rob Grilley is battling R Renee Grout, the candidate who nearly upset Grilley and came in second and almost took his place in the runoff has given Grilley his backing. 

Byron Powdrell, the longtime community activist from the famous ABQ barbecue family, tells me:

After much thought and homework I will endorse Rob. I did tell him I would stay on his ass.

Powdrell received 28 percent to Grilley's 29 in the first round of voting. Grout came in first with 43 percent. 

Powdrell benefited from his well-known name but also from his more progressive politics. He also garnered votes from an unusual endorsement by the ABQ Journal who gave him the nod after candidate Grout failed to show up for an endorsement interview. 

The district has always had conservative representation--either a conservative Dem or a Republican. Dem operatives remain cautious about flipping the district which includes affluent Four Hills. Grilley has been staffed up with more consultants and is busy raising money for the final weeks. 

In District 7 centered in the Mid-Heights, the Dem trackers are more sanguine over the prospects of Tammy Fieblekorn who faces R Lori Robertson. Registration is overwhelmingly Democratic and the politics there are more progressive than District 9. 

Fiebelkorn is also bringing home her opponents, securing endorsements from fellow Dems Mauro Walden-Montoya and Travis Kellerman who she bested in the Nov. 2 balloting. 

(First Endorser Martin Heinrich endorsed Grilley and Fiebelkorn on Monday.)

The R's would have to win both council seats to take back the majority from the Dems on the nine member council. 

EARLY VOTING 

BernCo Clerk Linda Stover has rolled out early voting for the council runoffs:

Eight Early Voting Convenience Centers (EVCCs) will be open for the Albuquerque Runoff Election – November 16 to December 4. All locations are open Monday to Saturday from 10 a.m. to 7 p.m. Voters may vote in person or hand-deliver a completed absentee ballot at any of the early voting locations.  November 25, 26, 27, all locations will be closed for Thanksgiving. 

TAX TALK 

Talk of tax rebates surfaced on the blog this week because of the huge surpluses being accumulated in Snata Fe due to the energy bull market. Other tax relief suggestions landing in our mailbox include:

--Suspend for one year the state tax on Social Security, a tax not paid by most recipients but one that takes a bite out of those that do.

--Given the immense amount of money coming to the state from the feds infrastructure bill over the next five years ($3.7 billion with over $2 billion for roads and bridges) reduce the $0.17 a gallon gasoline tax for two years. Shaving it in half would give drivers relief and the money lost to local road funds could be made up by the federal largesse. 

--Do electric vehicles pay motor fuel taxes? Of course not, but they wear out roads and bridges. Adopt a vehicle registration fee based on the vehicle value, so the more expensive the car the higher the tax. Also it is time to make the property tax proportional and not a flat tax. 

This is the home of New Mexico politics. 

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(c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2021
 
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