Wednesday, January 07, 2009They're New, Blue And Sworn In; Can New Reps Deliver? Plus: Questions On Moriarty Racino, And: Mayor Race: Cadigan Is All In; Radio Talker Ready, Too
Senator Tom Udall (D-NM)
As for our new members, Senator Tom Udall, shown being sworn in by VP Cheney with wife Jill at his side, has excelled at making friends in politics. This aspect of his personality should serve him (and us) well in the Senate where personal relationships are critical to success. What we don't know yet is whether he will be forceful enough when the time comes to stand up to his colleagues on behalf of the state. In other words, can he deliver a sharp elbow with a smile? ABQ Dem Congressman Martin Heinrich has shown skill at forging compromise and bringing people together. Politics needs more of that. He also seems not to hold grudges which should make his work easier. He also has a streak of cautiousness. How long will it take him to get up to speed and earn the respect of his colleagues which will benefit this state? Congressman Ben Ray Lujan has politics in his DNA. He wants to be where the action is, not just warm a chair. We think he will be results oriented. However, a man in hurry can sometimes step on the toes of others. Will Lujan know when to hold them and when to fold them? Congressman Harry Teague brings maturity, the personality of an avuncular uncle and the shrewdness of a fox to his new office. He has a track record of success in the private and public sectors. He has the makings of a deal maker for New Mexico. But this is a new level of play for Teague. Can he read the D.C. cards as well as he reads those in Lea County? (We had Teague assigned to the House Financial Services Committee for a few hours yesterday. He has not been assigned to that committee, but is on House transportation. Committees that Senator Udall will serve on have yet to be finalized.) Presiding over the delegation is our new senior Senator, Jeff Bingaman. After a quarter century in the Congress, he has won respect locally and nationally. But the state is now asking a lot from him--perhaps too much--as it puts on the field its greenest congressional team ever. Being leader of the pack is coming late in Jeff's career, but it could reinvigorate the lawmaker. When you know you are taking some of your last shots, you make them your best. COMMITTEE JOCKEYING Rep. Heinrich ![]() Gosh, we remember back in the old days when then-Congressman Bill Richardson scored a seat on energy and the dough rolled in even though he rarely had a serious re-elect challenge. They didn't call it pay to play either. Back to today, Senator Bingaman is chairman of Senate energy and with or without a NM House member on that chamber's energy committee, it will ultimately fall to him, as it did Senator Domenici before him, to safeguard the state's billions in national security funding. But hey, no pressure, Jeff. BIG BILL UPDATE Bloomberg News hit with a piece today bringing former big Bill Chief of Staff Dave Contarino into the pay for play scandal: "Federal prosecutors are asking if New Mexico Governor Bill Richardson’s former chief of staff told a state agency to hire a bond adviser that donated $100,000 to Richardson’s political committees, people familiar with the matter said.
Also KRQE-TV came with a report saying they have confirmed testimony has been taken from Carlos Romero, a former official at the NM Finance Authority who now works at the University of New Mexico. Former NM Finance Authority Director David Harris is also at the center of this story, having been interviewed by the FBI, according to the ABQ Journal. Like Romero, Harris is now at UNM where he serves as executive vice-president. Wonder what they talk about during their coffee breaks? Grand jury proceedings are by law secret and folks are not supposed to be leaking who has testified, but that doesn't stop them when the stakes are high. QUESTIONS ON NEW RACINO ![]() Also, the town of Moriarty is asking the Legislature for $4.5 million in capital outlay money to help cover the costs of the facility. Total capital outlay funds available for the next fiscal year are about $157 million, according to the latest state figures. That is more than some expected but still not anywhere near what lawmakers have had in recent sessions. Also, Blanchard is a major friend and campaign donor to Big Bill. In light of Bill withdrawing his commerce secretary nomination because of the federal grand jury probe of "pay to play" in the state, will questions along those lines arise about the $4.5 million in capital outlay? That may be seen as a stretch by some, but we're in a new era where money is tight. Everything is on the table and some political connections aren't what they used to be. CAMPAIGN '09--WE'RE ON IT Michael Cadigan ![]() ONE TIGHT LAW ![]() Joe, The ban isn't limited to City contractors, it's basically all business contributors. Here is the language: No candidate shall accept a contribution in support of the candidate's campaign from any corporation, limited liability company, firm, partnership, joint stock company or similar business entity or any agent making a contribution on behalf of such a business entity. No candidate shall accept a contribution in support of the candidate's campaign from any person, other than a City employee, who at the time of the contribution is in a contractual relationship with the City to provide goods or services to the City. Alan adds: The question is whether business contributors will form Committees and promote candidates independent of the candidate campaigns. So how much money will really be spent? Will independent business groups indeed form for candidates? And what about environmental groups? They have in the past so expect them to again. We would also look for labor unions to come in. Romero campaign consultant Neri Holguin says the new campaign law states that third party spending for a candidate will trigger matching funds for the other candidates and that we did not mention that when blogging about Romero possibly getting support from nonprofits. We will double-check Neri's info with the city clerk to make sure. But we wonder if some third party committees will try to disguise their efforts as "advocacy" to avoid the matching funds provision. After all, that is the heart of the dispute involving NM nonprofit groups and the attorney general who says their issue advocacy in '08 legislative races was actually politicking for candidates. That dispute is in federal court. In politics, money has a way of getting in through the side door, no matter how airtight they try to make that door. MEDIA WATCH Jim Villanucci ![]() KKOB-AM radio's Jim Villanucci, the dean of NM talk show hosts, was already promoting the scramble for the city's top job Tuesday. Callers filled his phone lines to get in on the action. Villanucci, who leans conservative, told his audience he has voted for Chavez twice, but did not say if he will do so again. He said he believes Chavez is positioned for the win in the absence of a strong conservative, but he would like to see one in the race. The radio talker has clashed with the mayor over the controversial red light cameras and the administration had a hard time containing the PR damage. Indications are that the ABQ Journal will again endorse Chavez for mayor. The online news outlet that employs progressive bloggers--The NM Independent--will be fertile ground for Romero. Sadly, the ABQ Tribune which for so many years led the pack in city politics coverage is no more. E-mail your news and comments, anonymous or signed. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009 Not for reproduction without permission of the author Tuesday, January 06, 2009Impending Liberal Split Seen Helping Chavez Re-elect; Debbie O'Malley Ready To Play, Plus: Updates On Bill And Di, Also: Yates Seen Taking GOP Chair
Romero & O'Malley
![]() ![]() O'Malley told me she wants to be listed as a "serious" candidate for the October election along with Cadigan, Chavez and Romero. When I asked her if she and Romero would not kill each other off by splitting the liberals, she said "things could change," indicating she thought only one of them would be around for the duration. She added: "I will have a strong group of supporters." Romero, 64, is working to get Obama backers to his candidacy. He is expected to get third-party financial support from nonprofit groups that have been active in area politics and drawn controversy because they don't fully disclose who donates to them. The NM attorney general is challenging them. Rather than try to convert Chavez voters, friends of Romero say he will attempt to attract new voters to the polls, a difficult task for a low-turnout city election. But O'Malley, a popular North Valley politico, will make Romero's task of consolidating the progressive vote difficult. Will one of them blink before the campaign begins in earnest? Stay tuned. MORE NEW MAYOR STUFF Chavez ![]() I ran into Mayor Chavez at my local Starbucks Monday afternoon. He was meeting with one of his consultants and indicated all systems are go for his effort to secure another four years. He chuckled over reports circulating that he could be the next Commerce Secretary to replace Big Bill. He was not an original Obama backer. Chavez and the rest of the mayoral field will rely on the new public financing system. A new city law basically makes it impossible to not to go that route. It says a candidate for city office can take no contributions from anyone who does business with the city. Candidates who qualify will each receive about $325,000. If liberals can't settle on one standard bearer and no major GOP contender emerges in the next month or so, Mayor Chavez could find the path to a fourth four year term may be strewn with pebbles, but no boulders. BILL'S DAY ![]() Meantime, the AP confirmed our December 17 blog report about Bill hiring high-powered ABQ defense attorney Peter Schoenburg to represent him in the case. Richardson is not known to be a target of the grand jury. The Washington Post takes us behind the scenes to the dueling staff messages on whether Richardson was forthcoming enough about the grand jury probe while being vetted. This kind of infighting is going to do nothing to get the Guv back on the national stage. And Bill is absolutely manhandled in the liberal Huffington Post--another downside of national politics--they kick when you are down. Here's a five minute interview we did with KRQE-TV and anchor Kim Vallez on the latest with Big Bill. The Guv now awaits what we all await--the report of the grand jury and any indictments. Until then, the Big Guy appears more vulnerable and weaker than usual. Putting on a smile amid that new atmosphere was not a bad idea. THE "TRANSITION" Lt. Governor Denish plans to keep her transition advisory teams intact until they give reports later this month. Those involved are citizen volunteers, but there are two highly paid transition staffers. Both of them have solid reputations, but several e-mailers point out that Denish only recently questioned the fat salaries of the hundreds of "exempt" employees on the state payroll. What happens to Chris Cervini, her communications transition director and Kathy Keith, her transition chief of staff? Both are drawing salaries of over $90,000. Cervini gave up his job at Lovelace Health to join Denish for what he thought would be a full time gig. Will Cervini and Keith join the ranks of state exempt employees, even though they were hired for a transition that no longer exists? We'll watch for an answer. YES TO YATES ![]() The Yates family has major oil interests in SE NM and has been a target of enviros for its plans to drill on Otero Mesa in the south. Harvey Yates has a home in and lives in ABQ. He took part in the '08 election by financially backing a group of GOP legislative candidates, but had little success. Like the current chairman, Allen Weh, he is not experienced in politics. Party analysts suggest he will look to hire a strong executive director to manage the nitty gritty details while he concentrates on raising cash and recruiting candidates. The GOP in '08 suffered one of its worst defeats in state history. Its losses in 2006 were nearly as devastating. (Sorry, Chairman Weh, but this is a no-spin zone.) Reformers are calling for new faces, but they are apparently in short supply. Yates, who is so low-key there are no photos of him posted anywhere on the Web, is already taking heat for hiring Roswell GOP State Senator "Lightning" Rod Adair as a consultant for the legislative candidates he backed. The reformers worry that Yates will continue to rely on Adair and others who have steered the party organization the past four years. They say if he does, the GOP will wander in the wilderness even longer than it is now destined to. If Yates is to be successful as chairman he will have to reach out and find candidates that not only that agree with his conservative views, but match the moderate and varied make-up of the New Mexico electorate. Unlike Weh, Yates' supporters say he is not in denial about the disaster that has befallen the party locally and nationally. The promise of his leadership is that he will surround himself with fresh faces and welcome new ideas. Whether that promise is fulfilled is the question that hangs in the air. ON THE HILL ![]() “I know that Kirtland Air Force Base and Sandia Laboratories are of the utmost importance to our District, and this was key in my mind when seeking my committee assignments. I am proud to serve on the Armed Services Committee and I look forward to the work ahead." Serving on armed services could boost Heinrich's standing with more conservative voters who have yet to warm to the new Dem lawmaker. Rep. Harry Teague has been named to the House Transportation and Infrastructure Committee, a panel that is set to see a lot of action under Obama's stimulus plan. Rep. Ben Ray Lujan was named to the Homeland Security Committee. The new Congress is sworn in today, including our three new congressmen--Martin, Harry Teague and Ben Ray Lujan. Tom Udall takes the oath as our new US Senator. We wish them all well and hope they have a healthy competition to outdo each other in protecting New Mexico's interests. THE BOTTOM LINE From a reader: "Bill Richardson, the hostage negotiator, now has himself for a client." E-mail your news and comments, anonymously if you wish. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009 Not for reproduction without permission of the author Monday, January 05, 2009BIG BILL BOMBSHELL SENDS POLITCAL SHRAPNEL FLYING; A COMEBACK OR MORE TROUBLE? DENISH'S DATE WITH DESTINY DASHED; LEGISLATIVE SESSION LOOMS LARGER![]() WHAT CHANGED? When Obama nominated Bill in early December, the president-elect knew there was a federal grand jury probe involving the Richardson administration. What happened since to make that investigation turn politically deadly? Top political and legal sources suggest that someone may have "rolled" before the grand jury; that they admitted there was a pay to play scheme and that they were involved. If so, federal indictments in the case are much more probable. The new president doesn't need any of those floating around. Also, the recent notorious pay to play deal involving the Illinois Governor made the NM situation that much hotter. But maybe nothing changed. Just the level of scrutiny as the nomination hearings approached. That was Richardson's take and why he said he withdrew. CNN says Obama's aides engineered Richardson's withdrawal, fearful of an ethics blowup. They say Richardson was "stunned." ABC News reported that Obama's aides claim Richardson was not "forthcoming" about the investigation. NBC's Andrea Mitchell, who broke the story, reports there was "heavy pressure" placed on Richardson by the Obama team to abandon his nomination. "He was pushed. They missed all the cues early on. They thought it (the investigation) was less important than it's turning out to be, or that it would get wrapped up more quickly...They realized they had a problem and in the last week there was heavy pressure on Richardson to withdraw," reports Andrea.
Richardson's staff insists it was the governor who initiated the withdrawal. Why the Obama transition team did not pick up on the problems earlier is a good question. They were quick to cover their own butts when Bill was deep-sixed, but there was some obvious ball-dropping going on with the vetting process. The withdrawal timing was done to minimize damage, coming as it did on Sunday morning. It will be a one or two day story in the national media and be gone. For that, Obama will be thankful. For Richardson it will mean less damage to his reputation than dragged out and high-profile confirmation hearings would inflict. (Obama and Richardson statements here.) INDICTMENTS OR NOT? ![]() Richardson, 61, said the investigation will end with his administration being cleared. He indicated he saw the setback to his political hopes as temporary: "So, for now, I will remain in the job I love..." But as the day wore on, seasoned political operatives were not so confident that there will be another big D.C. job awaiting Bill. Some scoffed at the reaction of Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish who must have been reeling when Bill told her of his plans early Sunday. She said Richardson "postponed taking a position in the administration to ensure that President Obama and the American people face no delays in getting to work to fix our ailing economy..." But if Di, who already had one foot in the Governor's Mansion, was engaging in some wishful thinking, she could hardly be blamed. The collapse of Richardson's nomination was not only the worst day of his political career, but hers as well. Still, if the rosiest of scenarios comes to fruition--no indictments of anyone---Big Bill could lay claim to the title held by former President Clinton-"The Comeback Kid"--and Di could still lay claim to Bill's title: Governor of the state of New Mexico. DI'S DESTINY ![]() An associate of the Light Guv, usually loquacious, struggled to define the emotions he felt, but he maintained that Diane's political identity is separated enough from Bill's to spare her any collateral damage. Still, the earth has moved under Di's feet. If Richardson does not get out of town by the end of his term, will that mean there will be more 2010 Dem primary challengers for her? After all, there's nothing like the incumbency to scare off rivals. And since this is an ethics issue, will Denish be pushed more into the progressive camp when she presides over the state Senate in the upcoming legislative session? If she feels a growing threat of a primary challenge from the left based on campaign reform and ethics, she just might. Denish remains the frontrunner for the 2010 Dem nod. She has about $1.7 million in cash and higher name ID than most potential challengers, but the hill just became steeper. Potential Dem hopefuls, even long-shot ones like actor Val Kilmer, are feeling a winter breeze at their backs. CASEY DENISH? ![]() And what of those forlorn R's? Suddenly, they hope for renewal. Outgoing ABQ GOP Congresswoman Heather Wilson just days ago openly flirted with the notion of running for Governor in 2010. The prospect could look more appealing if the grand jury probe turns sour on the Guv and tarnishes Di in the process. Of course, Heather has her own ethics issues. Remember that little ol' US attorney scandal? Still, Wilson more or less secured the endorsement of the ABQ Journal for the 2010 GOP Guv nod on Sunday. Now, if outgoing Rep. Steve Pearce will just stay out of her way--as the Journal hoped and prayed he would---Heather could be on her way again--at least with Republicans. CRESTFALLEN HOPEFULS And how about that list of potential Light Guv candidates for Denish to pick from when she is appointed governor? Well, they can unpack their suitcases. For how long is anyones guess. And how about all those governor appointed and highly paid "exempt employees?" Di had asked all of them to justify their jobs as she prepared to take the reins. But today they still answer to Big Bill. That whooshing sound you hear is several hundred of them exhaling in relief. (As long as Di did not give Bill any ideas about chopping a few of them.) THE ROUNDHOUSE IMPACT ![]() State Sen. Tim Jennings had some good analysis on TV news. He said the upside of Richardson staying on is having one governor for the entire session. There's already enough confusion in Santa Fe. And will this latest ethics issue--the latest in a long, long line--finally spark significant campaign finance reform in the state? Reader Fred Sisneros wondered: I am saddened to hear that he withdrew. I think he could have helped this state from the Commerce position. But I was even more disappointed to hear of the investigation. I would love to see this state expand publicly financed campaign to more offices, even the Governors seat. Maybe some of the new Democratic blood in the legislature could push it. They could, Fred. But with an imploding economy, interest may lie elsewhere. MEDIA PLAY NM TV news turned it on for the Big Bill story. We interviewed with Jeff Mahr at KOB-TV and Crystal Gutierrez at KRQE. Nationally, right leaning blogger Michelle Malkin made some hay with the Obama-Richardson trouble. The ABQ Journal's Mike Gallagher has been on the story from the start. He has the primer on the deal that dashed Bill's hopes. Solid New York Times coverage is here. MORE READER REACTION ![]() Joe, I am the happiest person on the face of the earth. This is the beginning of the big crash within both parties… New Mexicans deserve better. It is time to clean house and you know what I mean...I was beat up by El Patron and his buddies… but I can take a punch regardless if it is a jab or a hook. Viva Nuevo México and its people regardless of background and political party. A South Valley Alligator started circulating a joke. "Bill and Manny will soon be cellmates!" That's a reference to the impending imprisonment of former State Senator Manny Aragon on corruption charges. But there was a good share of sadness over the turn of events. This from a Senior Alligator: "It is a sad time for us who have enjoyed watching Bill's ride. Whether we agree with him or not he has put New Mexico on the world stage. It will be unfortunate for all of us New Mexicans if there is more to Bill's involvement that just smoke. Whatever the case, the long knives will certainly emerge and the upcoming session will probably be unpleasant." And then there some of my favorites--the conspiracy theorists. Bill's rocky relationship with the Clintons gave rise to this e-mailed missive: Joe, Any inkling that the Clintons were behind this? Any word of manila envelopes sent to the grand jury investigators, bearing a Chappaqua, NY (where the Clintons live) or Harlem (where President Clinton has an office) post mark? Have the Clintons been seen high-fiving each other? Any joggers in the vicinity of Richardson's residence, along with missing family pets & slashed tires? Signed, Suspicious in Paradise. Hey, Suspicous. Did you see this? An upstate New York developer donated $100,000 to former President Bill Clinton’s foundation in November 2004, around the same time that Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton helped secure millions of dollars in federal assistance for the businessman’s mall project. How does Hill's deal differ from what the feds are investigating down here? What a day it was--one that will be duly recounted in the years ahead in the never-ending and always fascinating book of La Politica. E-mail your news and comments. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009 Not for reproduction without permission of the author Sunday, January 04, 2009SUNDAY STUNNER: RICHARDSON WITHDRAWS COMMERCE NOMINATION![]() Complete Obama and Richardson statements here. ABC News says Obama transition team faults Richardson for not being forthcoming about investigation Lt. Governor Diane Denish released this statement: "Governor Richardson postponed taking a position in the administration to ensure that President Obama and the American people face no delays in getting to work to fix our ailing economy, and the President-elect said he looks forward to Governor Richardson joining his administration in the days ahead. In the meantime, Governor Richardson and I will work together, as we have over the last six years, to tackle challenges at home, to craft a workable budget with the legislature and to strengthen our economy to make sure that every New Mexico family has the opportunity to succeed." Here is the stunning news, coming from NBC at 11 a.m. Sunday: New Mexico Gov. Bill Richardson, tapped in December by President-elect Barack Obama to serve as secretary of Commerce, has withdrawn his name for the position, citing a pending investigation into a company that has done business with his state. "Let me say unequivocally that I and my Administration have acted properly in all matters and that this investigation will bear out that fact," he said Sunday in a report by NBC News' Andrea Mitchell. "But I have concluded that the ongoing investigation also would have forced an untenable delay in the confirmation process." He said he plans to continue in his role as governor. "I appreciate the confidence President-elect Obama has shown in me, and value our friendship and working partnership. I told him that I am eager to serve in the future in any way he deems useful. And like all Americans, I pray for his success and the success of our beloved country." Washington Post coverage here. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009 Not for reproduction without permission of the author Friday, January 02, 2009New Year Starts With Old Faces; Wilson And Romero Begin 2009 Parade, Plus: Bill Safe In D.C? New Info On That, Also: Update on Hewlett-Packard Deal
Romero & Wilson
![]() ![]() Romero is one of three serious contenders so far for the mayor's post--incumbent Marty Chavez and City Councilor Michael Cadigan--both Democrats--are the other two. (Where's a big name Republican?) The new public financing law has some tough hurdles and that could keep the field to only three or four candidates. Chavez will be seeking his third term in a row and his fourth overall. If the field stays small, he will try to put the win away by getting 40% of the vote in the first round and avoid a run-off election. Heather's hurdles are formidable. She told KOB-TV's Stuart Dyson that she is a proven fundraiser, having raised millions for her congressional campaigns, but she didn't mention that that was national money that won't be available for a governor run. And if she does pull the trigger, we told Dyson, she will likely face a contentious GOP primary. She lost the US Senate GOP primary to Rep. Steve Pearce. Don't expect any deference to her from other GOP hopefuls if she goes for guv. But if she can land a big high-paying D.C. consulting job, she probably won't be asking for any. The fate of Romero, Wilson and other would-be challengers will be largely determined by how soon-to-be Guv Diane Denish (assuming Big Bill's Commerce Secretary nomination does not falter) and Mayor Chavez conduct themselves in the coming months. BILL SAFE? My Alligators know no holidays. While the cat is away--or the head blogger--they've been monitoring the situation in D.C and Big Bill's prospects to win US Senate confirmation as the nation's next Commerce Secretary. They sent a quote in from the Politico that Bill hopes has the mood right: Gov. Bill Richardson, Obama's pick for Commerce, faces scrutiny over involvement in a San Diego-based software company that was under investigation by the Securities and Exchange Commission, but he seems unlikely to face a difficult hearing. "Republicans are aware of the issue, but we're being cooperative with the majority," said one GOP aide who is involved with the planning for Richardson's hearing. "It's possible that it might come up, but it's not going to be a focus of the hearings." A Senior Alligator reported here last week that his sources are telling him Bill's hearing before the Senate Commerce Committee will be held the week of January 12. RIO RANCHO WATCH
![]() These are follow-ups to our initial report expressing concern that the Legislature might resist such a big capital outlay for the company in a tight budget year. Several Rio Rancho area lawmakers told the newspaper they share those concerns. Big Bill promised the capital outlay money in much sunnier times, and before the corporate implosions which are costing USA taxpayers billions. HP said someone would be available to comment after January 1st. Well, the calendar has turned, so what happens if the Legislature doesn't come up with the money? Will HP cancel the center which it says could employ over 1,300 by 2013? Are they willing to take less from New Mexico's beleaguered taxpayers? Inquiring minds--and legislators---would like to know. E-mail your news and comments, anonymously if you wish. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009 Not for reproduction without permission of the author |
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