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Friday, April 16, 2010

Our Latest Pic: Pat & Jerry's Sign Service, Plus: Raton Racino: Will Regulators Protect NM? And: Fed Campaign Reports: Barela's Bounce 

Here's one for a fun Friday.

What's that state vehicle doing parked there in Moriarty while Land Commissioner Pat Lyons puts up political signs for his run for the Public Regulation Commission? And whose that fella behind the tree helping Pat? (Click photo to enlarge)

One of our Alligators snapped this pic and wondered about those questions and more, so we asked Lyons' office if the commissioner isn't busted for using a government vehicle and a state employee's time to advance Pat's political career. The response:

That is actually Pat digging the hole and Jerry King, (assistant land commissioner for special projects) is lending a hand. Pat was in Moriarty putting up signs (that's his red truck with the signs in the back) and Jerry (who was driving the Tahoe) stopped by to say hi, since he lives in Stanley which is a few miles away.

It really was innocent. I believe Jerry was headed home from a meeting in Albuquerque. Our vehicle policy is that employees can take cars home if they are on official business.

Well, we've heard of stranger coincidences, but not many.

WAITING IN RATON


Folks, we have this deal for a Raton Racino collapsing before our eyes, and it isn't going to be the Canadian investor heading it up who is going to take the hit. It's the NM Racing Commission and the NM Gaming Control Board. Both are responsible for insuring that we don't have a gambling fiasco, and both have had plenty of warning.

We know Raton is hungry for this economic development, but what's worse--ending this deal now, or causing even more chaos by letting it go through and then seeing it disintegrate?

If the outfit in question can't open the racino by the deadline given, what does that say how about how they would run the place once it's open? New Mexico's regulators (hello, racing commission chair Marty Cope) have been given fair warning.

BARELA BOUNCE

ABQ GOP US House candidate Jon Barela finally flexed his biceps and came with a beefed up money report for the first quarter of the year. He said he raised $232,000 in his quest to unseat Dem Congressman Martin Heinrich That's Barela's best performance yet, marking the first time he has cracked the $200k barrier in a quarter and renewing hope among the party faithful that he can get this race more competitive.

It will take more than one good quarter, however, to really make Barela a serious threat. While he now has $392,000 in cash in his account, Heinrich, who reported raising $300,000 in the first quarter, sports a cash balance of $1.044 million.

TEAGUE VS. PEARCE

A look at the latest federal money reports shows Steve Pearce has narrowed Harry Teague's cash advantage in the hotly contested race for the southern congressional seat won by Teague in 2008 and previously held by Republican Pearce for three terms.

Pearce reports $708,000 in cash; Teague has $927,00. That's a $219,000 advantage for Teague. However, at the end of December Teague had $315,000 more in cash than Pearce.

Teague had an anemic first quarter in fund-raising, bringing in $132,000 compared to Pearce's $277,000. But his supporters assert that perhaps he is not as focused on fund-raising as Pearce, spending more time on constituent needs to build support in the district. They say he can make up for it by later writing a personal check to his campaign from his oil fortune as he did when he first ran in '08.

Both candidates have now raised over $1 million.

The Pearce-Teague race will be a godsend for the TV stations. Not only will the campaigns pump big money into ads, but national groups are expected to come with big money to influence the outcome in this toss-up race.

Quarerly money reports were due Thursday from all the federal candidates. Here's the AP wrap on the filings, including that of Congressman Ben Ray Lujan and his GOP rivals.

WHO ARE THEY?

We and others who follow campaign money closely have been none too pleased with a new development this cycle. Instead of listing the names and salaries of their campaign employees, many campaigns are giving the money to a professional payroll company who pay the salaries, making the staffers and their salaries unavailable on the official money reports.

Rep. Martin Heinrich is among those using this new method, so we asked him for a list of those who are working in his re-election effort. The campaign provided the info, which we list below, but why not list it on the report? Shouldn't voters be able to readily know who is working and getting paid by our congressman? Meanwhile, Barela is listing the names and salaries of his campaign staffers. Pearce is using a payroll company. Teague doesn't list any campaign staff payments on his latest report.

In the NM Governor's race, Republican Allen Weh, who previously told me he was going to list staff salaries and names, is using a payroll company and the public can't readily see who he is hiring and what they are paid. He earlier told us he was paying his campaign manager, Whitney Cheshire, the equivalent of about $75,000 per year.

Weh is suing Diane Denish over the release of records dealing with federal stimulus funds her office received in 2003. Shouldn't he be especially eager to list all of his own spending on his public money report?

Meanwhile, the lieutenant governor trumped Allen on this one. For one reporting period last year, Denish did not list staff salaries and positions, lumping them all under the "payroll company" heading, but in her latest report the sun shines on all those working for her.

After what New Mexico has been through when it comes to campaign money, you would expect all the candidates to let us know without having to ask who they trust to run their campaigns. After all, experience tells us many of them will end up with prominent roles in running our government.

Here is a list of Heinrich campaign staffers and their salaries released by the congressman's office.

Mike Sullivan, Finance Director--Mike makes $5,000/month; Molly Ritner, Finance Assistant--Molly makes $2,500/month; On March 19, Molly’s salary was raised from $2,300/month to $2,500/month; Prior to March 19, Molly made $2,300/month; Annie Olson, Office Manager--Annie makes $2,500/month; In March, Annie’s salary was raised from $13/hour to $2,500/month; Alex Eubanks, Researcher--Alex makes $10/hour; Maggie Smoak, Petition Gatherer--Maggie made $10.25/hour when she collected petition signatures in January

Thanks for stopping by this week. We appreciate the company. From Albuquerque, I'm Joe Monahan reporting.

Email your news and comments.


(c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009
Not for reproduction without permission of the author

Thursday, April 15, 2010

The Sanchez Brothers And The New Era Of Limits, Plus: Latest News From The Hot GOP Campaign Trail, And: Honolulu Alligator Checks In 

GOP state Senator Sue Wilson Beffort won't have to deal with any more fiery comments about her highly paid husband when she starts talking about trimming the sails of state government. The University of New Mexico says one of two vice-president positions it is eliminating because of the Great Recession belongs to Steve Beffort, hubby of Sue and VP for Institution Support Services. Beffort will take early retirement.

Every time we blogged about Senator Sue's attacks on the Guv hiring too many political employees the email came in blasting her for not calling for UNM to reduce its administrative spending. Now she can shout without taking arrows. Beffort was paid $194,000 a year.

The newspaper has reported we have 19 UNM VP's pulling down $4.5 million a year. We have two gone. So should we say two down and maybe a dozen more to go?

THE NEW ERA

New Mexico faces severe limits on its public spending in the years ahead. Will we leave in place the top-heavy political patronage culture and force the working classes to shoulder the inevitable cuts?

But it's all nitpicking to old time politico and UNM Board of regents President Raymond Sanchez. He says eliminating the veeps "is not going to be that large of an impact."

The former state House speaker and his brother, state Senate Majority Leader Michael Sanchez, both Democrats, have been seemingly oblivious to the populist wave washing across the state and causing the public to demand a curb on the excesses in state government and educational institutions. Raymond seems flippant when it comes to the fury over the UNM VP embarrassment and Michael has grown a tin ear, supporting an increase in the food tax.

But they are not alone in their resistance. The slow, but inexorable economic change taking place in the state is also causing ABQ public schools officials and APS board members to insist that administrative spending is under control, and that 1,500 emails flooding into the schools demanding reform are simply "misinformed."

Meanwhile, the chairs of the legislative education committees fail to conduct hearing on just what comprises "administrative" spending. Is it defined differently here than elsewhere?

The Sanchez brothers of Belen are among the most politically savvy politicos the stae has produced, but the times are a changin'. Raymond is right that the money saved by eliminating those two VP's is marginal, but the point is not the money, it is the direction we are headed. The payroll padding and the tax break raids for the wealthy staged by the political classes, so acceptable when the streets were paved with honey, doesn't sell in the new Era of Limits. Just ask the folks in Belen.

THE CAMPAIGN


After all the talk about her $100,000 campaign contribution from an Artesia oi land gas company, GOP Guv hopeful Susana Martinez is out with a report that says she has raised more money than any of the give GOP Guv candidates--when you exclude personal loans.

Martinez says she has raised $569,329 since the campaign started last year; Pete Domenici Jr; $302,107; Doug Turner; $214,325; Allen Weh; $435,896 and Janice Arnold-Jones has raised $77,144.

Weh has loaned himself $750,000 and Turner has come with several hundred thousand in personal cash. Domenici has kicked in $70,000 of personal money.

If you take away Martinez's $117,000 from Mack Energy, she would still be atop the money list, minus personal loans. The point to be taken from this is that the two candidates who passed the critical test of getting more than 20 percent of the delegates support at the preprimary convention--Martinez and Weh---are also in the lead in raising money from individual contributors.

History says either Weh or Martinez will be the GOP nominee because no one has ever won the nomination without getting that 20 percent preprimary support. The fund-raising indicates the same.

TURNER TUBE

Doug Turner is back on the air with a new and edgy TV spot. He is the third GOP hopeful on the air. The ad seems to appeal to a younger crowd, now if Doug can only get them to the polls. Turner did not say if he would be spending as much as Weh Martinez on his TV. He told me earlier this week he was still on the hustings raising money to avoid spending the $260,000 he has in his cash account, much of it his personal funds.

The Media Mavens say a statewide candidate needs to spend about $50,000 a week on TV in the early going to get their message out. In the final weeks, candidates often go to $100,000 a week.

DOMENICI RADIO

Alligators report hearing the first radio ads for Pete Domenici Jr. No word yet on content. The Gators also report that Pete Jr. has grown back the beard he had before announcing for Governor. How's that for earth shaking political news?

A RECORD HOLDER


NM GOP executive director Ryan Cangiolosi holds the record for having his name misspelled on this blog. We did it again Wednesday. Your record is safe in our hands, Ryan.

DATELINE: HONOLULU

A self-described "South Valley Alligator" sends a photo and this missive from the sandy shores of Honolul, Hawii:

I saw the story about city unions asking ABQ Mayor Berry to eliminate 57 jobs at the 311 phone service run by the city. he union folks should know that 311 makes them look very good, has helped repair the image of city workers, and helps reduce costs.

Unions serve a purpose in the world of work in America, but lashing out at other hard working city workers is counterproductive. Unions should be lauding the work done by the 311 team. It helps justify all other city jobs by tracking the work done by all! A South Valley Gator reporting live from Honolulu...

I hope that Alligator doesn't scare the swimmers...

Email your news and comments, anonymously if you wish.

(c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009
Not for reproduction without permission of the autho

Wednesday, April 14, 2010

GOP TV Arms Race? $100K Donation To Martinez Raises Question; Plus: More From The Money Reports, And: Death Calls GOP Leader Ted Hobbs 

After that Godzilla-like $100,000 campaign contribution from Mack Energy Corporation of Artesia to GOP Guv candidate Susana Martinez, the political community buzzed over whether there would be more from the same source and if that means Martinez is prepping for a TV ad arms race with self-funded multi-millionaire Allen Weh. Word from the trail is that the campaign does not expect more Mack money, but that it does expect to have enough cash to stay on the air with Weh. (Here's a profile of Mack founder Mack C. Chase.)

Martinez, the Dona Ana County district attorney, campaigning on a platform of ending corruption and pay-to-play politics in Santa Fe, played with fire by taking that $100k plus another $17,000 from Mack. The cash, among the largest single campaign contributions in state history, smacked of the same big time, big spending politics that got Big Bill in so much trouble and that Martinez asserts she will end if elected governor.

The big oil and gas money for Susana is also causing some headaches for GOP state chairman and SE NM oilman Harvey Yates. Some of Martinez's rivals continue to claim the state party is backing Martinez and that the oil and gas money is the proof. Yates and GOP executive director Ryan Cangliosi insist they are neutral.

Martinez can stretch the envelope some, but the stench of hypocrisy will surface if her campaign to end pay-to-play starts looking like what she's running against.

DEM SPIN


The Dem spin machine remained busy in the aftermath of the release of the state money reports. The D's crowed that Diane Denish, their certain Guv nominee, is running the table when it comes to the money campaign. The party comes with this:

Denish, total raised: $3.9 million; Republican candidates combined, total raised: $2.9 million (includes personal loans); Denish cash on hand: $2.6 million; Republican candidates combined cash on hand: $1.3 million


TURNER'S TURN

A big question still on the table in this hot and heavy GOP Guv contest is whether Doug Turner will join Weh and Martinez on TV in a significant way. Turner has already spent more than $200k of his money on billboards and early TV. He has $260,000 in his cash account, much of it his own. He tells me he is still conducting fund-raising among major donors and should know in a week where he stands when it comes to getting in on the TV arms race. Meantime...

A campaign operative raised questions here Tuesday about Turner's campaign loans, pointing out that he has loans from his PR company and then expenditures back to the company for consulting on the very same days in the same amounts. Turner's campaign says the DW Turner PR firm does media buys for its clients, which include the Turner Guv campaign. When it places the media buy that becomes a loan to the Turner campaign. The campaign then pays Doug's PR firm for the media buy. Got all that?

AG ACTION

Republican attorney general candidate Matt Chandler reports raising $68,000 in the October thru April fund-raising period. Pretty good, but Dem Attorney General Gary King, seeking a second four year term, raised $166,000, including a $60,000 personal loan. King has $93,000 in cash on hand. Chandler received most of his money from the Clovis-Portales area where he serves as district attorney.

CORNELIUS CASH

30 year old Bob Cornelius is another candidate coming with personal cash to keep his hopes alive. Cornelius, whose family has ranching ties in Lea County, has loaned himself $100,000 to keep alive his hopes for the GOP land commission nomination. Cornelius failed to get 20 percent of the delegates support at the GOP preprimary convention and had to file petition signatures to get a spot on the June 1 primary ballot. Portales area rancher Matt Rush was the only candidate to win the needed preprimary support, garnering support from nearly 65% of the delegates. Cornelius said in a news release that Rush is reporting less than $4,000 in cash on hand while he now has $101,000. The question now is how much of that money Cornelius will spend.

BERNCO SHERIFF


That Republican nomination for Bernalillo County sheriff is worth having. No Hispanic Dem has been elected to the post in modern times, so GOP hopefuls William Kurth and Dan Houston are putting up personal cash to snag the victory June 1st--especially Kurth. The retired ABQ police department officer has loaned himself $40,000 and kicked in a personal contribution of $6,000. He's raised a total of $59,000 and reports $46,000 of cash in the bank for the final stretch. Houston, retired from the sheriff's department, loaned himself $10,000 and gave himself a $5,000 personal contribution. He's raised $43,000 and reports $40,000 cash in the bank.

With the fund-raising in this contest basically equal, we should have an exciting finish with both candidates in the mailboxes and on TV making their case.

NOT THAT MUCH

In an early draft Tuesday, we blogged that Dem Light Guv candidate Brian Colon received over 40 percent of the vote at the Dems March preprimary convention. Actually, he received 34.5 percent, as several readers helpfully pointed out.

TED HOBBS


We always thought the Republican Party should have been more like Ted Hobbs, the middle-of-the-road state House Minority Leader who had been around long enough to know that the long-term success of the party would only be achieved by moving to the center.

Hobbs, who died Sunday at 75, was what we used to call a "civic leader." He retired from a successful career with IBM and threw himself into community service, including a 12 year run (1994-2006) as state rep from ABQ's Four Hills area. His colleagues gave him the ultimate honor by choosing him as their leader.

Ted was a longtime fixture on our KANW 89.1 FM Election Night broadcasts, leading our Republican analysis. Those were some very long nights, with Ted holding forth into the wee morning hours, always with the "permission" of his beloved wife Nancy.

Here's what we wrote back in 2006, when he decided not to seek re-election:

Ted Hobbs is not the type of guy to wax sentimental or let his emotions run high. And he wasn't about to change as he broke the news that he will end a seven year run as State House Minority Leader and also give up the ABQ NE Heights seat he has held for a dozen years. "It's been a good run and I am looking forward to spending more time with my wife (Nancy) and enjoying some real retirement..."

Through the years Hobbs held steady as a low-key and pragmatic political personality, even as his Republican party was often wracked with divisions and infighting. But they kept going back to the self-described "mainstream Republican" to lead them, perhaps because he was the calm in the storm.

Thanks for the memories, Ted.

Services for Ted Hobbs will be held Thursday, April 15, 2010, 10:00 am, at French, Lomas Blvd. Chapel, with private burial to follow. Friends may visit French to pay respect Wednesday, April 14; 5:00 p.m. to 7:00 p.m.

This is the home of New Mexico politics. Email your news and comments, anonymously if you wish.

(c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009
Not for reproduction without permission of the author

Tuesday, April 13, 2010

Di Still Wears Money Crown; Weh Comes With Huge Personal Cash In GOP Scramble; Analysis And Context On Money Reports From Alligators & Insiders 

She's loaded up with Big Bill baggage, no woman has ever been elected governor of New Mexico and no lieutenant governor in the modern era has manged to get elected governor. But Diane Denish sent a message Monday that in spite of all that she remains the favorite in the 2010 race for Governor, announcing her cash hoard has now grown to $2.6 million.

Denish raised $1.1 million in the October to April 5 fund-raising period, reporting to the Secretary of State that during that time she spent $700,000 of her campaign kitty. Her cash balance grew by $400,000 from last year's report. (The AP wrap on the campaign reports is here.)

Surveying all the required reports revealed that the recession-busted economy is taking its toll on candidate fund-raising, but Denish continues to plod along and, unlike several of her would-be GOP challengers, not relying on any of her considerable personal fortune.

There was big money flowing Di's way. The Alligators, splashing like newborns in a muddy Rio Grande, played through the night with the new campaign database at the Secretary of State's Web site (it works!) and came with this:

Denish had 312 donations of $1,000 or more, totaling $863,000. Seventy-seven per cent of all her contributions came from 12 percent of the donors. She had a total of 2,498 contributors.

Her largest contributors included Emily's List with $55,000; Mesa del Sol land developer with $20,000; George Maloof of the Vegas gaming family came with $15,000.

Well, so much for campaign contribution limits, but they do take effect 2011 when the maximum donation allowed shrinks to below $5,000. But it's the here and now that's in play. Denish's prodigious fund-raising in relation to her Republican rivals and her ability to manage her millions effectively keeps the gubernatorial front runner crown firmly on her head.

THE R MONEY RACE

So who will get the chance to knock that crown off of Di? Based on the Monday money reports, former GOP chairman Allen Weh, at a minimum, is a major prospect for the R Guv nomination; Susana Martinez is a credible contender and Pete Domenici Jr. remains the X factor. Doug Turner can step up to the top tier, if he is willing to ante up, but Janice Arnold-Jones is going to have a hard time staying in the game.

But it's Weh who is shaking this race up, coming with a monster $500,000 personal loan, on top of $250,000 of personal cash he put up earlier. He had $544,000 in cash as of April 5, more than enough for a saturation TV and mail buy. Weh has been on TV since about March 19. Can he buy the nomination? It's not like this thing is not for sale. GOP Guv hopeful Gary Johnson, in 1994, came with his own cash and carried the day. Another factor helping Weh: No one is attacking him yet because they've been too busy trying to raise cash. As for his TV, it's good.

Dona Ana County District Attorney Susana Martinez is now looking down the barrel, with Weh poised to pull the trigger. But she's showing moxie and even some brazenness as she tries to stop the Weh express and also move Pete Jr. aside. She reported raising $428,000 for the six month reporting period and has $363,000 in cash for the final stretch. She went up with $50,000 in TV earlier this month. Among the five candidates, only she and Weh are on the tube. Also, her campaign claims the fund-raising momentum since she sent her rivals home crying from the GOP preprimary convention where she blew the doors off among party activists.

As for the brazenness, Martinez collected a massive $100,000 contribution from Mack Energy Corporation out of Artesia, one of the largest single contributions in state history. (The company made another contribution of $17,000 as well). She'll deal with the downside of that if she gets to the general election, but R's voting June 1st aren't known for moaning about candidates being bought and paid for by the oil boys in Little Texas.

MORE R MONEY
Turner
Meantime, he of the famous last name is in danger of fading fast, reporting a cash balance of only $130,000 after loaning himself $70,000. Domenici has raised a total of $372,000 since entering the race in mid-January. However, the son of retired US Senator Pete Domenici has spent heavily on staff and did one mailer that cost him $40,000. Will Pete Jr. have the money for the all-critical May TV buy? And does that famous name still mean he can get away with spending less than his rivals? The answers are very likely no and no.

Doug Turner is a darn good businessman, but how much of a gambler is he? Like Allen Weh, Turner is self-financing just about all his effort. He loaned himself nearly $200,000 in the last six months, and now has $260,000 in cash. But with Weh threatening to write even more checks, is that enough for Doug to stay competitive, or should he lay down his arms and fight another day?

ABQ state Rep. Janice Arnold-Jones has struggled from the start to keep up with the big dogs. She is still only nipping at their heels, reporting she picked up $110,000 over six months, $54,000 of it in personal loans. She has only $18,000 in the bank, enough to run a good race for a state House seat. You know, the one she decided to bail from to run for Governor.

DEM LIGHT GUV
Colon
Former NM Democratic Party chairman Brian Colon retains the pole position in the five way race for the Dem nod for lieutenant governor, but Lawrence Rael kept himself alive by loaning himself $105,000 of the $183,000 he raised in the October to April fund-raising period. He reports $126,000 cash on hand. State Rep. Joe Campos has $109,000 in cash. He also lives, but Colon, despite spending more than he raised in the period, keeps the advantage by reporting $205,000 in cash. He raised $156,000 for the period without any personal loans. So far, he has raised over $430,000. Reports for state Senators Lopez and Ortiz y Pino were not immediately available, but insiders report their cash totals are minimal.

Analysis at the Alligator round table at the UNM area Flying Star late last night was favorable to Colon, but the Gators were surprised that he did not save up his cash and come with over $300,000 and basically send a message that the race is over. By coming with the lower cash on hand total--he spent a ton on payroll--Colon retains the lead, but keeps some hope alive for his foes. Will Rael throw the dice and loan himself even more? He'll need a lot.

Colon is getting a broad base of contributions, not just a few large ones and he won the preprimary convention, garnering over 30 percent of the delegate support. The other campaigns were unsuccessful in reining in him and now will suffer the consequences.

GOP LIGHT GUV
Sanchez
John Sanchez has it and he apparently will spend it, putting him in the driver's seat when it comes to the three way battle for the GOP lieutenant governor nomination. The 2002 GOP Guv nominee reports loaning himself $274,000 of the $279,000 he raised for the reporting period. He had $256,000 in cash as of April 5, giving him more than enough to wage an intense TV and mail effort.

Clayton's Brian Moore, as we previously blogged, loaned himself $100,000 for the run. He has $129,000 in cash. Not bad, but Sanchez is already well-known and is from the ABQ metro area, making him the front runner with the caveat that he spends the money he has loaned himself. ABQ State Senator Kent Cravens reports only $23,000 in cash, not enough to take the fight to to the tube and the mailboxes.

Alligator analysis Monday night centered on how anemic the fund-raising was for the trio of light guv contenders, other than personal money. Obviously, what Republican cash is being put out is going in to the all-important guv race and that isn't exactly gangbusters, either.

GATORS IN THE MAIL

Some of our top analysts are campaign operatives past and present. They came with the email on the big money night. First, this on the liberal spending going on in that Dem lt. governor race:

I am astonished by the amount of spending. Had Brian Colon or Lawrence Rael showed a little self restraint they would have had a lot more to show for in the media buy. Lawrence spent $42,000 for TV production?! How many consultants and staff is Colon paying for?? Ridiculous. The high-priced consultants and staff are feeding off Colon like leeches and he's picking up the tab at every hack hangout from Thoreau to Tucumcari. How much money did they spend to raise their money??

I think Brian and Lawrence may put up similar TV buys at about $150,000--especially since Colon hasn't paid for production yet. Someone has to control their spending. Where are the penny pinchers to control these budgets while the candidates crow about the public living in "difficult times"?

Where indeed?

And from a GOP operative:

Those “loans” from Doug Turner don’t appear to be true loans. If you look at his report, he has “loans” from his company and then “expenditures” back to his company for “consulting” on the very same days in the same amounts. The most obvious are the $54k loan on 3/31 and the $30k loan on 2/28. Both were repaid on the same days for “consulting.” Not sure what that’s all about, but it grossly distorts his fundraising totals. If you took out all of those loans, he really only raised $200k for the entire period, not the $400k that appears on the cover sheet of his report...

And from a Dem operative:

Martinez’s rate of spending--and budgeting--has to be a concern. She reported $363K on hand, but she’s been spending 50K a week on TV--so in reality, that number is probably now closer to 275-300K. At her current rate of monthly spending (previous amount of spending per month + rate of current weekly TV buy), she’s on pace to spend $420,000 (35K per month in operating/staff/travel, etc + 50K in weekly television.) So, at just the current level of spending, she’s on pace to spend nearly 120K more than she probably has in the bank. Not to mention, she'd certainly want to increase her ad buy, put mail out and have a GOTV effort in Dona Ana. Without a huge infusion of cash, it’s hard to see how these numbers add up.


Thanks to all who helped with this report--my posse, our Senior Alligators and the operatives.

This is the home of New Mexico politics. Email your news and comments, anonymously if you wish. Interested in advertising here? Drop us a line.


(c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009
Not for reproduction without permission of the author

Monday, April 12, 2010

The New Calm At ABQ City Hall, Plus: Budget Battle Update; Which Way Out? And: Allen Weh's Odd Highway 

Mayor Berry
Whether by serendipity or design, ABQ voters seem to pick their leaders to match the times. When the city was booming and the coffers were overflowing with cash, Democratic activist leader Marty Chavez fit the bill. For eight years he unveiled initiative after initiative. Today, with the city facing its worst budget crisis in its history, the times call for a more low-key and collaborative personality and we appear to be getting it with R.J. Berry.

The new mayor sat for a half-hour KOB-TV interview, and despite the mounting tension over his proposed budget cuts, he maintained his cool, refusing, as he put it, to "draw a line in the sand."

This isn't a line in the sand process for me. This is a dialogue with labor, the administration and city council.

The first Republican mayor in nearly a quarter century also passed on the chance to do some old fashioned union bashing:

(The unions) have a job to do...They have membership they have to take care of...It doesn't surprise me that they would come with tax increases...We have a negotiating process...We''ll conduct ourselves in a professional manner..

That's a far cry from the yelling and name-calling (one councilor once called the sitting mayor "a turd") that have marked city politics in recent years. Perhaps as the crisis wears on, we'll revert to form and have city councilors, union leaders and the mayor all publicly dumping on one another, but for now Mr. and Mrs. Albuquerque are enjoying the reprieve.

WHERE WE'RE GOING

Style is the superficial if not insignificant aspect of governing, but in the end it's policy that matters. In that regard, Berry, governing with a five member GOP majority on the council, seems headed toward getting most of what he wants as he takes his first of what will be many stabs at addressing the new long-term economic reality.

This is because there are few alternatives. Most of the expense of running a modern city is payroll. With a projected deficit of $66 million for the budget year starting July 1st, it will have to be trimmed. Berry's proposal to shave 3 percent from all city salaries is headed for passage. But if he and the council really want to score points and apply this proposal fairly, they will exempt the lowest paid employees and make sure the cuts are deeper at the top of the pay scale.

City unions arguing for tax hikes to keep the party going are whistling in the wind. Unlike dozens of other cities, Berry is coming with a plan that avoids layoffs. City unemployment is at a modern day record--9 percent--and the public is not about to support tax increases so city workers can keep full-sized paychecks while unemployment and food stamp lines back up.

The police and fire departments, sacrosanct for so many years, will also find a resistant public if they try to cling to unrealistic 6 percent pay raises promised by former Mayor Chavez. Ditto for their desire to avoid shrinking their salaries like other city workers.

With lost jobs, foreclosed homes and heavy debt weighing on thousands of city households, the cops and firemen are going to take a hit. That it is being administered by a Republican mayor and council, not Democrats who could be accused of being soft on crime, is another reason the cops will have to bite their bullets, not just shoot them.

However, City Hall Alligators say Berry may want to settle for nixing the pay raise and applying the salary cut, rather than opening up the entire police and fire contracts to go after more savings. That could upset what so far is a political equilibrium that gives Berry the benefit of the doubt. Besides, by the time this economic debacle plays out, everything will eventually be thrown on the table.

SUNCAL AFTERMATH

Repercussions from the bursting of the ABQ west side real estate bubble continue, with the bankruptcy filing of land developer SunCal being the latest news. The company bought the huge SunCal Atrisco land grant and then tried to convince the legislature to give it a special tax break known as a TIDD to assist it in developing nearly 40,000 residential lots there.. It never happened. A Senior Alligator comes with this analysis:

There are only four caretakers left to deal with the re-organization as SunCal's California staff deal with the repercussions. The Californians have been running the operation for some time.

The SunCal approach to lobbying and advertising really has to be called into question. They probably spent well over a million dollars on their failed efforts to get the legislature to approve their TIDD. Contrast the SunCal effort at getting their TIDD to the successful Mesa del Sol effort and one sees that one has to target an effort with the legislature and not throw money at the wall hoping some of it will stick.

SunCal's lobbying raised eyebrows and caused resentment among the many who didn't get a piece of the action. With the economy in the ditch and successful efforts like Mesa del Sol in hibernation, it is hard to see how SunCal will emerge successfully from this reorganization. One only hopes that the shareholders and heirs of the Atrisco land grant can salvage their heritage from this fiasco.

MARY'S MUSINGS

From Santa Fe, Secretary of State Mary Herrera writes to us of the charges from A.J. Salazar, her former Bureau of Election's director, who claims she ordered office employees to gather petition signatures for her re-election campaign on office time:

I do not understand why the media never asked (Salazar) did you collect the 1,000 signatures? February 9th was filing date. Everyone knows I was out every night and every weekend collecting my own signatures. I collected over 10,000 with help from friends, family, campaign help, and I mailed out sheets to over 200 people in the party who I thought might help and received quite a few back in the mail. I collected close to 7,000 by myself from October to February 9th. I am a worker...

No doubt Mary is a worker. She won two terms as Bernalillo County clerk and is going for a second four year term as SOS this year. As for collecting 7,000 signatures on her own from October thru Feb. 9, that would mean she collected an average of 55 signatures a day.

In light of the recent troubles of Sec. Herrera, we pointed out that no Republican has been elected SOS since the 1920's. But why, when other state offices have, on occasion, flipped to the R's? Perhaps New Mexico Hispanics are particularly attuned to the Dems and this office because it administers election and voting rules and discrimination against Hispanics in that regard was of a serious nature not long ago.

RACE ON--AGAIN

We are back to a three way GOP primary for the ABQ west side and Corrales area state House seat held by Dem Ben Rodefer. Candidate Tom Molitor says he is back on the ballot as is David Doyle. The pair were ruled off the ballot by the Secretary of State for not following rules regarding the gathering of petition signatures, but Molitor says a Sandoval County judge reversed that ruling. The two join retired ABQ police officer Paul Pacheco on the ballot. Rodefer is seen as one of the more vulnerable House Dems in the 2010 cycle.

Meanwhile, the AP comes with this wrap on the outlook for the state House campaigns. All 70 seats are up for election this year. The GOP has done a pretty good job getting more candidates on the field, but Dems say they are ready to defend.

FOLLOWING FOLEY


The City of Roswell isn't going to be shy about defending itself from a lawsuit filed against the cops by former State Rep. Dan Foley who was arrested in 2007 for interfering with his son's basketball game and allegedly spitting at the police. Charges were eventually dismissed, but Foley's suit says his civil rights were violated. The city is now asking that Foley's suit be dismissed.

These defendants acted out of necessity to protect their safety and the safety of others,” reads the court documents. “(Their) actions were privileged on the basis that they may use reasonable force to effect an arrest.

Republican Foley has since moved out of Roswell and to Rio Rancho. But his political career has never recovered from a 2008 primary defeat. He currently sells insurance.

THE WEH HIGHWAY


This Allen Weh campaign billboard near Farmington has some odd company for a self-described "famIly values" candidate. The building in back of of the billboard sports the title, "Couples Megastore." Weh's sign appears to be on the same property as the sex biz. Maybe the suliminal message from the GOP Guv contender is that it takes more than praying together for a couple to stay together?

THE BOTTOM LINES

In our first draft of Friday's blog we said that Lt. Gov. Diane Denish took issue with the latest TV ad from GOP Guv contender Allen Weh. The criticism actually came in a news release from the state Dem party, not Denish, but her campaign says she agrees with the party.

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(c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009
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