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Monday, July 29, 2024

MLG Tries To Get Back On Track: Well Attended Town Hall On Crime But To What End? DA Bregman Comes With Plan That Could Be Path Forward, Plus: Guv Tells Nation NM "Renergized" With Harris As Nominee, And: Trump Gets Nella Tongue-Tied; She Refuses Radio Interview, Also: US Senate Race Analysis

MLG had a well attended town hall in Las Cruces focusing on public safety and another is scheduled for today at 5:30 in ABQ at CNM Smith Brasher Hall (streamed here) but to what end remains ambiguous. 

The legislature adjourned their special session without taking action on her crime agenda and which led her to castigate lawmakers, saying they should be "embarrassed" and leaving her future working relationship with them in question. 

Adding to her woes is the absence of many swing legislative seats on the ballot in November. That loss of leverage at the polls is shadowing her town halls, especially if they are meant to put campaign heat on her fellow Dems. 

MLG heard from dozens of people who recounted their experiences with crime in the Las Cruces area. 

She did not veer from pressing her failed legislative agenda but refrained from attacking the legislature. (Full video here).

This is not a first term governor enjoying widespread support. The ACLU and other groups opposed to her agenda urged their members to attend the town halls and they did so in Las Cruces with some voicing opposition to her special session agenda which the progressive groups were key in defeating.

The town halls take place against a background that has more legislators believing that the crime crisis is mainly an ABQ problem and that the mayor, police chief and city council here are going to have to resolve matters--as they have in the past. 

Las Cruceans expressed frustration to MLG about slow response times by police which is also a problem in ABQ as officer shortages plague police agencies across the nation.

POSSIBLE PATH

DA Bregman
There is one aspect of the crime wave that MLG could tackle to put a dent in it and also resurrect her political fortunes but it did not come up at the special session or at her town hall.

That path was outlined by Bernalillo County District Attorney Sam Bregman when he testified at a legislative committee hearing before the special session, pointing out the explosion in juvenile crimes committed with guns and came with a specific set of proposals.

The acceleration in youth crime was again on display Friday when a 17 year old was arrested for shooting a security guard at ABQ's Coronado Mall, the state's largest and where this fourth shooting there in the past year has made the mall a danger zone. Then there is the teen-led mayhem that has frozen progress in Downtown ABQ. 

Here's Bregman

In the last 18 months Bregman said he has indicted 20 juveniles for murder--all but one facing a first-degree charge. "That is absolutely unacceptable--that 19 children are accused of murder in the first degree and there are 20 lives gone because of them," Bregman said.

Bregman asked lawmakers to consider a series of code changes, including automatically treating teens between 14 and 18 as "serious youthful offenders" if they are charged with first-degree murder and adding a few other serious violent crimes, 

He also wants the law changed so youthful offenders are automatically transferred to an adult jail when they turn 18 and to make it easier for prosecutors to use juvenile records during release hearings. He wants to extend the length of possible supervision for juvenile offenses until age 25 rather than 21 and to make it a fourth-degree felony, rather than a misdemeanor, for someone under 19 to possess a handgun.

Bregman also wants the law banning possession of a handgun by someone under 19 expanded to cover all firearms, including long guns. Currently, he, said, possession of an AR-15 or AK-47 by someone underage is not necessarily illegal. 

That's a crime agenda that with the Governor's support might find a warmer legislative reception and actually make more of a difference than the one rejected at the special.

The certainty of being caught is the most effective deterrent to crime, according to experts. Bregman's plan does not get directly at that nagging issue but it does address it half-way by giving teens with guns second thoughts before they put their fingers on the triggers.

MLG FACES NATION 

The Governor made her first broadcast comments on the presidential race since her controversial remarks htat she was concerned about New Mexico slipping away from President Biden. Now that VP Harris is lined up to replace him she says the state is "re-energized" for her and that polling shows Hispanic voters are now much more supportive. Here is the full interviewi she conducted from Santa Fe Sunday with CBS' Face the Nation, including remarks on the border"

 ROBERT COSTA: We go now to New Mexico's governor, Michelle Lujan Grisham, who is a member of Vice President Harris' campaign advisory board. 

ROBERT COSTA: We know you're with the vice president. You're a hearty supporter on her advisory board. But I want to begin with the news of the week for history, which was, President Biden's decision to exit the race. You were on a call with President Biden and Democratic governors a few weeks ago where CBS News reported that you expressed concern about the president's performance at the time and whether he was able to win. Can you tell us what exactly you said and what were your concerns to help us understand why this week played out as it did? 

GOVERNOR MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM: Well, I don't know that any of my statements had anything to do with what's played out, but it is clear to me, or was then, that there was a shift. And New Mexico is a bellwether state, you know, with the largest percentage of Hispanic voters per capita in the country, and that there was a bit of a, if you will, stalling out. And that I found very concerning. That was confirmed by national polling that had Biden beating Trump by 1 percentage point among Hispanic voters. And since his personal decision to certainly put democracy first, I will say, I'm seeing a re-energized, particularly with young voters, with I think is now playing out in national polling, showing Harris beating Trump with Hispanic voters by 19 percentage points. 

ROBERT COSTA: How is Vice President Harris playing out on the issue of immigration and the border in your state? Of course, a border state. You heard Senator Graham earlier in the program, he just kept coming back to the issue of the border with Vice President Harris. Are Democrats ready to counter the Republican attacks, and are you confident that she personally can address this issue in an effective way for New Mexico? 

GOVERNOR MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM: Well, let's do a couple of things. First, I'm going to answer the question. Yes. There's renewed enthusiasm because what the Hispanic voters here want is a prosecutor who's got a history in a border state, dealing with border and immigration issues that can cause risks, like her prosecution successfully of transnational gangs on drugs and guns. But they also want someone who is going to be balanced on immigration policy. And that's what the Biden-Harris administration brokered with Congress. And this is the second time we've seen Trump and his cast of characters be really clear, they don't want immigration reform, they want fear, they want division, they're going to continue to demonize Hispanics and Latinos and immigrant communities. And you know what they see? They see someone who's tough, fair, balanced, pragmatic, and somebody they can relate to in terms of her own family. That motivates Hispanic voters. 

ROBERT COSTA: Senator Graham called Vice President Harris the border czar. That wasn't her title. She was given responsibility to deal with the root causes of migration when it comes to the border. Your voters in New Mexico, I've spoken to them. They see you as a straight talker. What's your grade, straight talk, politically speaking, of how she handled the issue of migration during the last three and a half years? 

GOVERNOR MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM: Well, as a straight shooter, thank you, Robert, thank you New Mexico voters. We have to be engaged in better diplomacy in Central America and South America. She did that very effectively. And, in fact, we had meetings of the Americas and Latino leaders from south of the border, and those have been incredibly promising. They're trying to create a label that really belongs squarely with the president and Stephen Miller themselves. They want to be dictators. They want to be dictators on the border. They want to demonize immigrants. They have been incredibly racist. They're gaslighting. And they have done absolutely nothing on the border that makes any sense. In the last administration, they want to do mass deportation. Here's something that I think is really important and telling about this issue. Right now, border crossings are as low as they've ever been. Certainly lower than they were in the Trump administration. And we've seen a 55 percent decrease. And we've seen the right public safety activity at the border in this administration. 

ROBERT COSTA: But what about more Border Patrol agents? There has been reported, including a leaked phone call, of you speaking about, you need more from DHS, you need more Border Patrol. You've been positive about the administration so far in this conversation, but you've often have been urgent about your need for more resources at the border. Does this administration need to do more for you and your state in terms of allocation of resources and agents or not? 

GOVERNOR MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM: They do. And they're going to get that opportunity if Republicans in Congress weren't directed to make sure that they did not do anything to pass a bipartisan border deal that put 1,500 more border patrol and 1,200 more ICE agents. You bet. And the shift of border patrol by President Biden into ports of entry is exactly what we needed so that we can focus there and then you minimize, right, you can't seek asylum if you're not coming in a port of entry. That gets at coyotes and those inappropriate crossings. So, they both did something based on my urging, and they're on the right side of this new border deal. Which will get done when Harris is president, we take the House and we keep the Senate. 

ROBERT COSTA: And on the search for a running mate for Vice President Harris, Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, from the Sun Belt, your region of the country, is at or near the top of the list based on our reporting. How much of a help would it be for Arizona, for New Mexico, to have someone like Senator Kelly on the ticket? Would you recommend he's picked by Vice President Harris? 

GOVERNOR MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM: 

Well, my recommendations really shouldn't matter. This is a personal decision by candidate Harris and the vice president. And I respect that she's going to make a perfect balanced ticket choice. But look, this is one of the highest per capita enlisted and veteran communities in the country, New Mexico. You've got a veteran, you've got an astronaut, you've got someone who's got a very strong public safety record, you've got someone who understands the West, when understand water. It's not just immigration. He would be an incredibly strong pick. You know, the very first images from space were captured from New Mexico in the '40s. This would be a very strong pick. But she's got a really deep bench, which is, I think, another really important facet in this race. The Democrats have people who are ready to move the country forward. She's about progress and the future, and Trump is about none of those things. 

ROBERT COSTA: Governor, we really appreciate you taking the time. That didn't seem like an endorsement of Senator Kelly, but something close to it. We - we'll have to check in. 

GOVERNOR MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM: Well - 

ROBERT COSTA: Well, something close - it was a positive - 

GOVERNOR MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM: He knows I love him. Come on. He knows I love him. 

ROBERT COSTA: All right. 

GOVERNOR MICHELLE LUJAN GRISHAM: All right. 

ROBERT COSTA: All right, Governor. We'll be right back. And thanks again. (ANNOUNCEMENTS) 

NELLA'S  QUANDRY

Domenici
Republican Nella Domenici took a sharp turn toward the farcical last week when she refused to do an interview with TJ Trout on KKOB radio, even after he submitted in advance the questions she would be asked. 

Her campaign went into overdrive to deflect Trout's fundamental queries as irrelevant. They included:

Was Joe Biden legitimately elected president of the United States?

Do you still support Trump following the events leading up to the Jan. 6, 2021, attack on the U.S. Capitol?

Those questions have been asked of candidates thousands of times in the past three years but Domenici has now not only refused to answer them but also to say whether she would be casting her vote for Trump. 

She has said she is not seeking Trump's endorsement and does not plan on giving him hers.

Her campaign came with this spin on the refusal to do the Trout interview:

Domenici is focused on much bigger issues than worrying about Trout. New Mexico is in a crisis. We are last in education, jobs, yet first in crime and high grocery prices. Our campaign is focused on these issues New Mexicans have to deal with every single day. We have no time for radio hosts who want to insert themselves into the narrative and ask questions that play well on MSNBC but have zero relevance in New Mexicans’ everyday lives. There are key issues that need to be addressed on Day 1 if we have a shot at turning our state around. Let us know when Martin Heinrich wakes up and starts talking about any of those.  

Former ABQ city councilor, attorney and veteran campaign consultant Greg Payne pointed out the peril of Domenci's plight for not answering Trump-related questions:

It’s not like TJ Trout is Rachel Maddow or Morning Joe. If you can’t handle his show, you’re not remotely ready for prime time.

Now that Domenici refuses to answer Trump questions she will only be asked more of them. Her explanation is anathema to Republican voters who prize loyalty to Trump and make her look weak and indecisive to other swaths of the electorate.

This is her effort to be an independent candidate but still cloaked in Republican red. She continues that theme in her latest TV ad in which she highlights how her late father, NM GOP Senator Pete Domenici, worked with liberal Dem Sen. Ted Kennedy to come up with solutions to mental health issues. The transcript: 

NELLA: My younger sister was an incredible scholar athlete. One year later, she was diagnosed with schizophrenia. So many, many people don’t want to talk about mental illness.

ANNOUNCER: Nella and her family have dedicated their lives to addressing this crisis, working with a bipartisan task force to better integrate mental health into primary care, focusing on better care and resources to tackle these issues without stigma or shame. 

NELLA: And find better solutions for the many, many people suffering.

Domenici and Heinrich will have only one TV debate--in October on KOAT and also sponsored by the Journal and KKOB radio. (Hey, maybe TJ can be on the panel and ask his questions again?)

The Senate candidates will also meet in debate in October at ABQ's Congregation Albert on a Sunday morning to be announced. That debate is not expected to be televised.

Domenici may have missed a beat when she did not question the limited debate schedule:

Heinrich’s policies on crime, the border, the cost of living and green energy at the expense of oil and gas have created crisis after crisis, and hardship after hardship for New Mexicans. I look forward to speaking for the New Mexicans who I have met traveling across our state, and contrasting how our common sense solutions will make our state and nation better. It’s time we demand more.

As the decided underdog shouldn't Domenici be clamoring for more debates with the two term incumbent? Well, with all those uncomfortable Trump questions lurking less may indeed be more in this case.

Heinrich said the debates will show that. . . 

While I have a record of delivering real results — like capping insulin prices for Medicare enrollees, securing unprecedented investments in early childhood education, and cracking down on the fentanyl supply chain — my opponent has spent her career making millions of dollars for companies that sold out working families.

US SENATE ANALYSIS

Heinrich
Domenici's campaign making the assumption that even a lukewarm embrace of Trump is not needed in order for her to consolidate the Republican base threatens GOP participation that could be deadly. 

Her coziness with Ted Kennedy only exacerbates that problem as she clings to the belief that there is a large core of centrist voters who will come to her side and elect her.

The miscalculation could be that her candidacy rises above today's hyper-partisan politics like her father's often middle of the road but long ago Senate service. 

The problem is that there is not enough focus on Heinrich as her campaign spends too much time and money on her and is now getting tangled up in her inconsistency. The paid attacks on Heinrich should have already begun.  

Using her dad as a launching pad for her campaign was understandable, but continuing to lean on him when the guns of August are about to fire is like using a spear against a bazooka. Someone's going to get hurt.

This is the Home of New Mexico Politics.    

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(c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2024