Tuesday, June 17, 2014APD Crisis: Legal Fees To Negotiate Reform With Justice Dept. Soar; Why Not Just Surrender? Plus: New King Campaign Manager Calls Race Against Guv "Winnable," And: Eyebrow Raiser: GOP State Rep. Deplores State Of NM Economy
Here's something you didn't hear at last night's ABQ City Council meeting where $220,000 in legal fees was shelled out to negotiate APD reforms with the US Justice Department and where it was revealed the fees could eventually go to $500,000. A reader writes:
What if we don’t negotiate? What if the city just tells the DOJ we will do what it wants? That way we save our citizens hundreds of thousands--and perhaps $500,000--in a no bid negotiating contract. Would the citizens end up saving money? I think so. It's worth asking as we lose our collective shirts from all the lawsuits resulting from over two dozen police shootings since 2010 (Councilors Klarissa Pena, Dan Lewis and Rey Garduno voted against the contract). It is our city and its political leadership--Mayor Berry and the City Council--that lost control of APD and plunged us into crisis. Why were they not "negotiating" with APD as the crisis unfolded over a period of years, instead of playing Ostrich and hiding their heads in the sands of Tingley Beach? It can be easily argued that the time to negotiate has long passed and now the time for surrender is here--for the sake of the taxpaying public. Why not simply let Justice list all the reforms it sees as necessary and have the city council vote on whether to approve them? No burdensome legal fees and no desperate efforts to hold on to the infected APD culture. A clean sweep. This outside-the-box thinking could even give ABQ an argument for getting federal dollars to help implement expensive Justice ordered reforms. NEW KID IN TOWN Can Gary King's new campaign manager--a Louisiana native--replicate the success of James Carville, the most famous political consultant to come out of that state? 35 year old Steve Verzwyvelt, Jr. doesn't fancy himself a Carville, but he has been knocking around the political word for a dozen years. most recently working with several Dem Super PAC's involved in US Senate races. He spent a good portion of his career as partner in what he describes as the "award-winning" Democratic media firm Chao SMM. There he specialized in congressional races. The firm has since closed and lead partner Ben Chao has teamed with Joe Trippi & Associates. Verzwyvelt (Ver-ZWEI-velt) touched down in New Mexico this past weekend and is only now starting to immerse himself in the Guv race. "It's winnable. We need to raise the money to get our message out," he opined to us. Insiders say Dem nominee King loaned himself about $200,0000 to kick-start his general election effort and used a good chunk of it to make sure he had at least one TV ad up as Gov. Martinez and the GOP governors association flood the airwaves in the early going. King hails from a wealthy NM ranch family. His new campaign guru can relate. His family owns a 6,000 acre farm in Natchitoches, La. where he picked cotton during summer school breaks. Veryzwyvelt was not aware of the NM-Louisiana political connection established with Gatorgate--the controversy over the Martinez administration awarding a lucrative racino lease to the ABQ Downs which has Louisiana based ownership. He did, however, say he was familiar with his campaign counterpart--Martinez political operative Jay McCleskey. "I've read a bit about him," Verzwyvelt quipped in his pronounced Louisiana drawl. "I look forward to beating him." Here's a 2008 article on Verzwyvelt. And here's the National Journal piece on McCleskey. JAMIE'S JAM
The plea carries a good possibility that Estrada will not do any prison time and it avoids a political spectacle that we all would have enjoyed but is probably good for the Guv. She probably doesn't need to be discussing in open court her taste in underwear (the subject of one of the leaked emails) or other intimate matters. Here's the news release on the plea deal from US Attorney Damon Martinez. And now that the US attorney and Feds have cleared up the email case, what about the probe into the ABQ Downs racino lease? That was another subject of the emails intercepted by Estrada. EYEBROW RAISER A Republican state representative deploring the state of the New Mexico economy? Yep. ABQ GOP State Rep. Jimmie Hall delivered the eyebrow raiser in an op-ed piece he co-authored with syndicated columnist Harold Morgan. It sure wasn't approved by the Martinez campaign. Take a look:
The worst state economy in the nation is here, Albuquerqueans are very good at divorce, people are leaving the state and incomes are flat. These things go together. For April, we lost wage jobs, year- over year for the fourth consecutive month. . . We are one of three states with year-over-year losses, keeping us in the singular position of the nation’s worst state economy. . .Maybe it was newly divorced people leaving. Men’s Health magazine ranked divorce propensity in 100 cities. Albuquerque placed 99th.
Hall is known for his independent streak. His "tell it like is" take on the NM economic reality reinforces that reputation.
There's an idea--"independent Republicans." Didn't we see something to that effect on the endangered species list?. . . . This is the home of New Mexico politics. E-mail your news and comments. (jmonahan@ix.netcom.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2014. Not for reproduction without permission of the author Friday, March 13, 2015The Balderas-Colon Eyebrow Raiser And New Mexican Editor Clipped For DWI
UPDATE: In a rare move, the state Senate Friday rejected the nomination of Matt Chandler to the UNM Board of Regents.
Chandler is a longtime member of the Guv's political machine who served as treasurer of the PAC that scorched Democrats and helped bring the R's control of the House in last year's election. Colón is an attorney with the ABQ firm of Robles, Rael Anaya which does considerable contract work for governmental entities, including the state. He has been an effective fund-raiser for Gov. Richardson and Balderas and has nurtured Balderas' political career. Senate Dems have stalled the Chandler nomination because of his ties to the Guv's machine which makes the Balderas and Colón endorsement all the more problematic with the Democratic base. This is one of the few times that Senate Dems have stood up to the Martinez operation. Of course, that always comes with a price. Dem ABQ Senator Daniel Ivey-Soto, who vigorously questioned Chandler's machine ties at a Senate committee hearing, is now the target of machine radio ads in his swing district condemning him for his opposition to right-to-work legislation. We asked Balderas, a prospective '18 Dem Guv contender, about the endorsement of Republican Chandler. He replied: At the request of Mr. Chandler, I informed the Senate Rules Committee that I worked with him as State Auditor on two high-profile corruption cases which led to conviction and removal of office. I offered the letter of support to assist the Senate Rules Committee in their confirmation process, which I greatly respect. That letter is here. Plenty of Alligator email on the Balderas-Colón-Chandler team-up. This one was typical: Chandler had support from Hector Balderas and Brian Colón, but that will be a problem for Balderas in the long term. Balderas did not anticipate the political consequences of supporting someone, who five months ago funneled a million dollars to (Guv political adviser) Jay McCleskey, and was used to defeat the House Democrats. Chandler didn't exactly "funnel" money to the Advance NM PAC, but he was its treasurer. Chandler is a former Clovis area district attorney who in 2010 was the GOP nominee for attorney general and was defeated by Dem Gary King. He abruptly resigned as DA in early 2014. He was appointed as a special prosecutor by Gov. Martinez in a judicial bribery case that touched Gov. Richardson, but the case crashed and burned. Sidebar: Chandler's father, who is a former Clovis police chief and ran as a Democrat against GOP Congressman Joe Skeen back, in the 80's, has been named by Gov. Martinez to the Interstate Stream Commission. Well, at least one Chandler had smooth sailing. DRIVEN TO DRINK The editor of the Santa Fe New Mexican was arrested early Thursday on an aggravated DWI charge. Maybe he was drowning his sorrows over the lack of real news emanating from the Roundhouse this session. Or maybe he hit the bottle when Rep. Kenny Martinez said some rapes were the result of drunken college sex." Or it could have been over that photo of Rep. Stephanie Maez that Majority Leader Nate Gentry was caught scrawling sarcastic love notes on. Being forced to watch all of that unfold is enough to make any ink-stained wretch embark on a Lost Weekend. Thanks for stopping by this week. This is the home of New Mexico politics. E-mail your news and comments. (jmonahan@ix.netcom.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2014. Not for reproduction without permission of the author Wednesday, July 08, 2009Eyebrow Raiser: Big Bill's Onetime Chief Fund-Raiser To Co-Host Denish Event As Corruption Scandals Play On; R's Start Digging At Di
Diane Denish
Old loyalties die hard, but does Diane Denish need to start reassessing hers? That's the tough question for the early front runner for the 2010 Democratic Guv nomination, and it's hitting home in the wake of news that Big Bill's onetime chief fund-raiser is co-hosting an event for Denish and in the wave of escalating Republican attacks over the multi-layered scandals shadowing New Mexican politics. Eyebrows were raised (or brows furrowed, if you prefer) over an invitation to a $250 July 24th fund-raiser for the lieutenant governor to be co-hosted by Amanda Cooper and her husband, Jim Noel. Cooper hasn't been accused of any wrongdoing, but all aspects of Richardson's campaign fund-raising for Governor and President and his various committees and foundations in which Cooper was a key player are under investigation by the US Attorney's office and a federal grand jury. We previously blogged that our insider sources confirmed that Cooper, the step-daughter of US Senator Tom Udall, has been granted immunity from prosecution in exchange for her testimony to the grand jury. That does not mean she is implicated in any wrongdoing, but the political implications are obvious. Richardson's fund-raising and the pay-to-play allegations are potential political dynamite for Denish. (The Friday federal indictment watch is now the most popular indoor political sport). Here's the fund-raising invitation that has them talking: You are invited to a Reception In Support of Lt. Governor Diane Denish To benefit her campaign for Governor. Hosted By: David Smoak and Charity Townsend Jim Noel and Amanda Cooper July 24, 2009 5:30 – 7:00 pm At The Home of David Smoak and Charity Townsend. Suggested donation: $250 per person And here's the money graph from the ABQ Journal hit piece authored by NM GOP Chairman Harvey Yates, Jr. as they launch their ethics assault: (Denish) moved to the other side of the table when Richardson repeatedly poked at the side of her leg. Why hasn't she moved to the other side of the table on corruption? Is it not as important? If she has lacked the courage to speak vigorously against corruption, she is unfit to be governor. That stung her, and Di used her campaign chair, Ted Martinez, to strike back: Chairman Yates once again showed how little Republicans have to offer...I know Diane and her record fighting corruption. Just this past legislative session Diane pushed for more transparency in campaign fundraising...She backed a law that requires all state contracts be posted on the Internet...And Diane wrote the law to reform New Mexico's Regional Housing Authorities...That is just the start of Lt. Governor Denish's work on ethics... The state's number two may be reluctant to firmly separate herself from Bill's operations. She must secure the nomination in a party heavy with his operatives and supporters. And State Senate Majority Leader Michael Sanchez lurks as an alternative nominee. Denish has spoken out on the regional housing authority scandal, but has not delivered a broader ethics message or taken other high-profile steps to separate herself from the cloud of corruption. Neither has she taken note this year of the specific allegations that have made for the screaming headlines and damaged the popularity of Richardson. WHAT'S NEXT Republicans, hampered by their lack of a well-known Guv candidate, are working to find their voice on the issue. Restless independent voters are prime targets. Can the R's define Di with the corruption mess before she gets out of the Dem primary? Does she have the luxury of continued silence as she tries to keep all Dems on board before the primary? Or does a break need to be made now to ensure general election viability? There's no question that New Mexicans next year are going to want to turn the page on the pay to play and excessive political fund-raising that has tarnished the state. What message is Denish sending with the Cooper co-hosted fund-raiser? More important, what will be her message on the epic corruption that has infested the state during the time she has served? And when will that message come? THE BOTTOM LINES The name of the new communications staffer for ABQ mayoral candidate Richard Romero is Tim McGivern, not Tim McGovern, as we called him in a first draft. Of course, he's been called worse...Speaking of typos, we're not alone. Look at this one getting wrong the name of one of the mayoral candidates: Congregation Albert Brotherhood will be hosting a mayoral debate on Sunday, September 13th at 11:00am. Congregation Albert has a long history of outstanding debates dating back 60 years. The invitees include Richard Romero, Martin Chavez and Richard Perry. Richard Romero has already committed to attend. Richard Perry? That would be Republican Richard "RJ" Berry. But if Chavez agrees to debate him, he'll answer to any name you call him... E-mail your news and comments. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2009 Not for reproduction without permission of the author Wednesday, June 10, 2020MLG VP Prospects: Serious Or Name Dropping? Plus: A Pair Of NM Bills In The Blog Spotlight
Is MLG a serious prospect for VP under Joe Biden or is her name being pushed out only for Biden to court favor with Hispanic voters? Well, you be the judge. Meantime CNN's VP watchers have moved the NM Governor up to number 5 on their top ten list of potential VP's. Take a look:
5. Michelle Lujan Grisham: Lost amid the flood of news is the fact that Nevada Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto removed herself from VP consideration. That move leaves Lujan Grisham, the governor of New Mexico, as the highest-ranking Latina in the VP mix. (Other names like Texas Reps. Veronica Escobar and Sylvia Garcia still seem like something of a long shot to me.) Lujan Grisham has also stepped up her criticism of Trump and his response to Floyd's death. (Previous ranking: 8) Biden is expected to make his pick by August. Just don't let Lt. Gov. Howie Morales hear about her improving VP chances or he may need a defribillator. EYEBROW RAISER As the pandemic continues to rage on the Navajo Reservation a bit of an eyebrow raiser comes from the MLG administration. It is pondering an appeal of a federal Dept. of Education ruling that gives a boost to Native American school districts. Impact Aid is designed to compensate school districts such as Gallup McKinley for the property tax revenue they lose from tax exempt federal lands and the expenditure to educate Native children. However, the state has been diverting much of that money to the general fund, a practice the Feds have now called out. We get this from a western NM educator: Native American school districts have opposed the state’s practice of inappropriately taking $60 million per year in Impact Aid from the poorest districts in the state. The federal government agreed with them by ruling NM cannot continue to take the money for FY20. The Governor, who has publicly supported replacing the unfairly taken dollars from these students, is now surprisingly preparing to appeal the Feds decision. The Governor would be using a lot of political capital going against the Tribal communities who overwhelmingly voted for her. The federal government has never reversed a decision on this issue so she should just take the Feds ruling as a win. She is risking this voting block for less than 2% of the educational budget. . . The deadline for the state to appeal is June 15th. A PAIR OF BILLS
The protagonist moves from a rebellious existence to be more focused in the surrounding adult world. As he heads once more to the freights, after working intensely for seven years with parolees in a halfway house, he brings his old railroad diaries with him. Reading them over as he bounces from railyard to railyard, framed by the scenery of the Southwest, he winces at his own self-absorption back then, the shame he feels about his own privilege. . . O'Neill represents District 13 in ABQ's North Valley and is seeking a third term this year. He is opposed by Republican Michaela Chavez in the heavy Dem District. Former Gov. Bill Richardson is back on the diplomatic beat, with CNN reporting he recently played a role in the release of an American Navy veteran held in Iran: Michael White, 48, traveled to Iran in July 2018 to visit a woman he said was his girlfriend. In January 2019, the Iranian government confirmed that White had been arrested in the city of Mashhad. The State Department said he had been detained since 2018 and was serving a 13-year sentence. He had been charged with insulting Iran's Supreme Leader and posting private information online. . .Richardson. . . formed an unlikely partnership with the administration and played a key role in securing White's release. Richardson, who was ambassador to the UN under President Clinton, runs the Richardson Center for Diplomacy. . . This is the home of New Mexico politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2020 Wednesday, May 08, 2013Lawsuit Over City Campaign Cash Rules Raises Eyebrows, Also: Radio Talk Wars For ABQ? And: Too Much Healthcare Charity?
It was a team effort--stalwart ABQ Republican attorney Mickey Barnett's law firm was joined by none other than ex-progressive ABQ Dem State Representative and attorney Al Park. Yeah, we're off to the races on that one... Overturning the contribution limit would benefit Republican Berry. Unlike Dem Pete Dinelli he did not opt to receive public financing of some $360,000. He is raising private money and at last count had banked $250,000. But he has run into trouble. $17,000 of those donations are being called into question because it appears the donors do business with the city--a no-no under the current law. (The full lawsuit is posted here.) (Dinelli had $200 in questionable donations and donated them to charity), The lawsuit says the restrictions are unfair, saying unions and others who do business with the city are free to donate. The Barnett-Park suit--if successful--could pave the way for Berry to start taking contractor money in time for the October election. but it would also give Dinelli and mayoral hopeful Paul Heh the opportunity to accuse Berry of pay-to-play and soil his choir boy image. Dinelli's campaign is already on it: With all of the issues of this election breaking against the Mayor--our flailing economy first and foremost--the Mayor's political cronies have launched a desperate attempt to buy this election and cling to their power...They want to legalize pay-to-play contributions and put the corporate special interests in charge of our government to maximize their bottom line. That's simply unacceptable.... PARK'S PLACE Park lost his bid for the Dem nomination for an ABQ Public Regulation Commission seat last year after it was disclosed here that his law firm raked in hundreds of thousands in state contracts from the Republican administration of Susana Martinez. Since then he has been dubbed a DINO--Democrat in name only. Park is a close personal and professional friend of NM Democratic House Speaker Kenny Martinez who, like Park, is an attorney. Park was a key ally of Martinez when Martinez, in 2006, launched a coup attempt against then House Speaker Ben Lujan. It failed, but Martinez did become Speaker following the 2012 election. Speaker Martinez lost progressive support in March when in the final seconds of the legislative session he gave in to the Governor and rammed through a corporate tax cut. His ties to former GOP State Rep. Keith Gardner--now the Guv's chief of staff--were called into question by Dems outraged by the Speaker's cave in. Now Park surfaces again in the Republican camp and that's going to keep the spotlight on the Speaker and how much behind the scenes footsie he is or isn't playing with the R's. A Senior Alligator comes with the suspicions: Al Park teaming up with Mickey Barnett should be a giant red flag for Democrats statewide. Once a star of the progressive cause, Park sold out to the Martinez Administration for a lucrative legal contract when he was chairman of the House Judiciary Committee and it cost him his race for the PRC. The question Democrats needs to ask: Is Park the only one? Why were other supposed progressives so quick to push through at the last minute of the legislative session the Martinez corporate tax cut? Was it out of principle? Or do Democrats need to start following the money with their own leadership? In La Politica, you always follow the money. PRESS BASHING Some Dems are not only running against the R's, they're also taking on the newspaper. From Bernalillo County Dem Party Chair Ana Canales: The Republicans are beginning their attacks on us, even digging up old news. They may have the Albuquerque Journal and the money on their side but we have the votes. The number of registered Democrats is greater than the number of registered Republicans. So why do they win? Because we do not get our Democrats out to the polls. Let's start our own attack campaign but let's do it by having block parties, house parties, precinct meetings, etc. TALK WARS? Some of our media Alligators are speculating that if conservative talker Rush Limbaugh leaves 770 KKOB-AM radio at the end of the year, we could get one of the market's FM stations going to an all-talk format with Limbaugh as its centerpiece. That could be the first serious competition in decades for #1 ranked KKOB. Limbaugh, as we blogged this week, is having conflicts with Cumulus, the company that recently purchased KKOB and where his broadcast is carried weekdays. The talk FM format has been growing in popularity. Limbaugh has had some problems with advertisers since a boycott was launched over remarks he made, but still has a large core audience.
TOO MUCH CHARITY?
...Your statement about the free health care at UNMH becoming "nearly Third World care" is patently absurd. There are two tiers of health care in the U.S., and millionaires don't have to scrum for appointments at the Mayo Clinic the way us working stiffs have to beg to get in to see a general practice doctor or a dermatologist. What "indigent" and "other" people receive at UNMH is somewhere between "excellent" and "better than what half the world can aspire to. That it takes a little, or a lot, longer to get your free treatment or surgery isn't going to keep this taxpayer up at night. Liberals act as if money can be pulled from thin air, and any limits on charity are an affront to humanity. Deep down inside liberals must know that you are picking the pockets of the hardest working citizens, to help the least productive among us. Is that noble? Sometimes I'm not so sure. ...Let's keep some perspective. I've personally been furloughed, my coworkers laid off, and I will likely never see another raise even as my health care costs skyrocket, and more is asked of me at work. More health care for the charity set is way down on my list of priorities. (Love the blog). We welcome your thoughts, musings, commentary, analysis and existential angst. This is the home of New Mexico politics. E-mail your news and comments. (jmonahan@ix.netcom.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2013 Not for reproduction without permission of the author Thursday, August 06, 2015Are New Mexico's "Rising Star" Democrats Mistake Prone? Plus: APD Chief Eden Gives Us The Eyebrow Raiser Of The Week, And: The Mystery OfMary Han
Are New Mexico's "rising star" Democrats making too many mistakes, giving the Governor's political machine an even easier ride? Let's take a look:
--Senator Martin Heinrich is embarrassed over headlines that he wrongly reimbursed himself with government funds for transportation costs to , trips that should have been paid for out of his own pocket. A rookie mistake that blemished Heinrich unnecessarily. Attorney General Hector Balderas openly endorses Machine favorite Matt Chandler for a spot on the UNM Board of Regents only to see Chandler's nomination suffer a rare defeat in the Dem state senate. Earlier, the new AG fired en masse 40 staffers who worked for his Dem predecessor, firings that are still making news today. State Auditor Tim Keller scored points for firing at the Machine with his probes of the secretary of taxation and revenue and the city of ABQ's questionable contract with Taser's lapel camera videos. Then he shoots himself in the foot by opening a private email address to conduct state business on, something Gov. Martinez did and was busted for. Now Keller is busted. ABQ Dem Congresswoman Michelle Lujan Grisham was coasting along until her magic carpet ride. She received carpets as gifts from the government of Azerbaijan and didn't report it. She was also called out for taking the trip in the first place because of who was paying for it. House Ethics cleared her of any wrongdoing but it gave the R's a possible potent opening if she seeks the governorship. In just about any context these are minor infractions that would normally not draw much scrutiny, but the state Democratic establishment has been flattened by the Machine and these are the personalities the party is counting on to reverse the tide. They need to be hitting every time they swing. Another major factor in why the Dems need their A game is the quiescent media when it comes to Gov. Martinez. Controversy after controversy erupts but she is spared the flashing cameras. Google--one of the world's major companies-- pulls out of New Mexico. Anyone ask the Guv about it? Nope. Let the mayor of Moriarty deal with it. The taxation secretary is caught up in Keller's investigation. Anyone ask Martinez on camera about it? Nope. A Guv statement attacking Keller will suffice. NM ranks 49th in child well-being Anyone interview the Governor? Nope. The state ranks at or near the bottom in job growth in the nation? The Governor's response? She isn't asked. It's not all up to the media. If the Dems were pressing their case against the Machine they would get the press. Keller has shown that, but most seem to be playing the dangerous game of waiting her out. And while they are waiting they are making mistakes when they should be forcing mistakes. THE EYEBROW RAISER The eyebrow easier of the week was easily when APD Chief Gorden Eden said he has never read the criminal investigative report on the killing of homeless camper James Boyd, despite it arguably being the most famous slaying in the department's history. Eden made the statement in testimony at this week's preliminary hearing where it will be determined if two APD officers will stand trial on charges in connection with the Boyd shooting. He later explained why he has not read the report, but that explanation puzzled many, including ABQ attorney Tom Grover who writes: He's trying to say he can't look at the report because if he did he'd violate the officers' due process rights for administrative investigations. First, it doesn't apply to at all to former APD officer Keith Sandy because he's no longer employed by APD. Regarding officer Perez, we're talking about the criminal investigation of the shooting of Boyd NOT the administrative investigation of Perez for misconduct. The administrative investigation of a public employee's misconduct always follows the criminal investigation because statements by officers in administrative investigations are compulsory--an employee who refuses to answer can be fired for simply not answering. Lastly even if there were something that would pose a conflict, Eden as Chief of Police can assign authority to discipline Perez to a deputy chief or to the city's chief administtrative officer. For Eden to come off as so uninformed about this event and again to misstate a legal issue (remember, he at first called the Boyd case a justified shooting) shows how little has changed with APD. Yep, that's the stuff you'll get nowhere else and we're glad to bring it to you. THE MYSTERY OF MARY
The noble cause of a forensic pathologist is to seek the truth, says the foreword to Spitz’s seminal “Medicolegal Investigation of Death.” That requires the pathologist to “abandon rhetoric, ancient dogma and fictive contentions in favor of finding and presenting fact.” The facts in Han’s death appear to be irretrievably lost, the truth forever out of reach. Surely it’s time the OMI found the guts to say so and change its report. Is the truth really "forever out of reach?" Or is there someone out there who some day will step forward and solve this mystery? Or does that only happen on TV?. . . . This is the home of New Mexico politics. E-mail your news and comments. (jmonahan@ix.netcom.com) Interested in reaching New Mexico's most informed audience? Advertise here. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2014. Not for reproduction without permission of the author Monday, October 10, 2022SurveyUSA Continues To Break With The Polling Pack; Now Gives Enormous 16 Point Lead To MLG; New PPP Survey has MLG With 8 Point Lead, Plus: Exclusive Insider Details On That Mike Pence Roswell VisitSurveyUSA continues to break with the pack in the '22 gubernatorial polling, showing a much larger lead for MLG than other surveys. The firm, working for KOB-TV, came with another eyebrow raiser Sunday night when it said the Dem Governor now sports an enormous 16 point lead over Republican challenger Mark Ronchetti, an increase of four points from their September survey that had her 12 points ahead and which was also greeted quizzically in some political quarters. The latest poll was conducted October 1-6 among 570 likely voters. Here are the results: MLG--53%; Ronchetti--37%; Libertarian Karen Bedonie--3% and undecided 7%. As much as that may depart from the conventional wisdom, the SurveyUSA top line number is not out of the ordinary. In 2018 MLG won 57 percent to Steve Pearce's 43 percent. The poll was conducted after the TV debate that the GOP has been messaging was won by Ronchetti. The next and final debate is Wednesday night on KOAT-TV at 6:30 p.m. What is still a little out of whack is the low Ronchetti number. The base NM GOP vote is about 43 percent and he has yet to reach that number in the KOB post primary polling. However, he also failed to go over 40 percent in the late August Journal poll. Republicans have been fretting that the Libertarian candidate is pulling conservative votes from Ronchetti. This past week Ronchetti rolled out an endorsement from former Republican Governor Gary Johnson who was the 2016 Libertarian presidential candidate. UNM poly sci professor Tim Krebs says the Republican is losing the campaign because for a high number of voters abortion has become more or as important as inflation and the economy, the key GOP issues. MLG sports a huge 29 point lead over Ronchetti with women and is ahead one percent among men in the SurveyUSA. The main takeaway from the poll is that MLG remains firmly in the lead and the race remains "lean Democratic" until SurveyUSA's numbers are confirmed by another poll showing a large lead. If that happens the race moves to the "likely Democratic" column. A new PPP poll released Sunday has MLG with an eight point lead--48 to 40 with the Libertarian getting 7 percent and undecided at 6 percent. The survey was conducted October 6 and 7 among 806 voters and had a margin of error of 3.5 percent There will be more polls but the one most awaited is the second ABQ Journal poll now scheduled for release October 30. In reporting the poll KOB said that the race was still far from over. They may have been looking at the Sept 8-11 Emerson College Poll done for their rival KRQE-TV that had it 48 to 43 percent. The 16 point lead SurveyUSA gives MLG means this race is over. Finished. Kaput. That big of a lead is way outside the poll's 5.8 percent margin of error. OTHER RESULTS Dem Raul Torrez carried a 17 point lead into the final month in the Survey USA poll, getting 50 percent to Jeremy Gay's 33 percent. Dem Sec. of State Maggie Toulouse Oliver still has not broken the magic 50 mark against her Hispanic Republican challenger. SurveyUSA called it 47% for MTO; 32% for Republican Audrey Trujillo and 3% for the Libertarian candidate. The incumbent is still on track, however, for a sizable victory. INSIDE THE PENCE VISIT
We gave the state heads-up back on September 27 on the upcoming Roswell fund-raiser featuring former Vice-President Mike Pence for GOP Guv candidate Ronchetti. But when Pence arrived last Thursday afternoon there was no further word from him or Ronchetti's camp on where the fund-raiser would be held and by whom. That's not shocking given that Pence has had a falling out with Trump and SE NM is a hotbed of support for the former president. In fact, Pence's visit was derided on social media by some Republicans as a visit by a RINO for RINO Ronchetti (Republican in name only.) The media was unable to discover what Pence was up to so we sent in our trusty Alligators to dig out the facts. They report that the fund-raiser for Ronchetti--going off at $5,000 a pop--was held at the Roswell home of attorney and Roswell Probate Court Judge Clarke Coll. He is the brother of Eric Coll, the chair of the Chaves County GOP. The father of Clarke and Eric Coll is Chuck Coll, whose brother was the late well-known GOP and Dem state Rep. Max Coll. He died in 2014 at age 82. What's interesting is that Max Coll made a famous party switch from Republican to Democrat in 1983 when Dem Toney Anaya was governor. He had moved from Roswell, where he was first elected, to Santa Fe and continued to serve in the state House from a district there, first as a Republican and then as a Democrat. He was, in fact, a RINO of his day. He was awarded the chairmanship of the House tax committee as a reward for his switch. Why Ronchetti risked bringing in Pence a month before the election when he must unite all wings of the GOP is a good question. Of course, money is always a reason and he and Pence worked hard to collect that cash without drawing much public attention to the matter. The picture posted here of Pence and Ronchetti at the Coll home is from Pence's social media. Earlier Thursday Pence visited Artesia and was briefed by officials on the Permian Basin oil boom. It's home to many a multi-millionaire who Pence will seek donations from if he makes a a '24 presidential run. That visit was not blacked out but received minimal news coverage. When all was said and done Pence sent out this tweet: I’m supporting @MarkRonchettiNM because he is a proven Conservative who will end the crime wave plaguing New Mexico, get this state’s economy running at full speed, and bring down the inflation that Joe Biden has unleashed on our country! PROTECTING THEIR OWN Just as you might have thought, the final 2021 redistricting of the state legislature was done by incumbents determined to protect themselves: New Mexico lawmakers protected themselves and their colleagues when they redrew political district maps crafted by a 2021 nonpartisan advisory commission, shielding incumbents of both parties from competition and making legislative elections less competitive, according to a new 59-page report co-authored by UNM political science professor Gabriel Sanchez. The study found no evidence that New Mexico Democrats, who have strong majorities in the House and Senate, politically gerrymandered their districts, a conclusion based on statistical analysis conducted by Sanchez’s co-author and University of Georgia professor David Cottrell. “The protection of incumbents was the greatest source of gerrymandering this session,” the authors concluded, based on the analysis and interviews with experts. The full report is here. THE BOTTOM LINES Join me at 5 p.m. today on KKOB 96.3 FM radio as we kick the NM political football around with TJ Trout. . . From Las Cruces: SouthWest Organizing Project and Citizens for Non-Partisan Civic Engagement will be hosting a candidate forum for the Doña Ana County Sheriffs race. It will take place on Tuesday, October 11th from 5-8PM in Old Mesilla at the historic Palacios Bar located at 2600 Avenida de Mesilla Ave. . . The name of the director of the FBI was misidentified in a news release from MLG's office that we ran a quote from. His correct name is Christopher Wray. Thursday, July 10, 2008The Big Blog: Alford Says White Event "Falsely Advertised;" Fundraiser Fallout, Plus: Peeling Onion On ABQ Congress Poll, And: New Face For Guv Staff
Alford and White
University of New Mexico head basketball coach Steve Alford was playing political hardball Wednesday as the controversy over his attendance at a fund-raiser for ABQ GOP congressional contender Darren White moved off this blog and into the outside media. "I wouldn't know Darren White if he walked in front of me. It got falsely advertised. I was just stopping by," declared the celebrity coach. It doesn't look like Coach Steve will be posing for those thousand dollar photos with partygoers after all, does it? Whether Alford will be there in any role remains under discussion. It was those photos, promoted on the White fund-raising invitation, that fueled the fury that now has UNM Vice-President for Athletics Paul Krebs again repeating that Alford is not endorsing White and that there will be guidelines to avert a future donnybrook. "I would strongly advocate we not publicly endorse political figures, because I think it jeopardizes our program and it compromises our fan base," Krebs told the ABQ Journal. The newspaper July 4th carried a brief note of the July 16th White fundraiser dubbed "An Evening With Coach Alford," but it was this past Tuesday's blog quoting a Senior Alligator outraged that the coach would raise money by having his picture taken with partygoers that was used to heat the airwaves of talk radio giant 770 KKOB-AM and KOB-TV and advance the story. Sheriff White told TV veteran Stuart Dyson that the criticism of the event was politically motivated. He cited fund-raisers Alford previously attended for Big Bill and Dem congressional candidate Harry Teague. White had a point, but it appeared Alford had hob knobbed at those events, not had his picture sold for a $1,000 a pop. That was brand new territory, according to the dean of ABQ sportswriters. "It is unprecedented in my 30 years of covering the Lobos," said Rick Wright from the Journal newsroom, where political writer Jeff Jones and sports maven Mark Smith were putting together their story. Wright promised comment in his Friday column. The White party was arranged by UNM lobbyist and former GOP State Rep. Joe Thompson. He e-mailed Alford to get confirmation for his attendance, which he got, but the exchange of e-mails appeared to leave open whether Thompson had fully informed Alford on what he was to do at the event. LESSONS LEARNED? This latest saga of La Politica is really not about Sheriff White and partisan politics. It is about the political judgement of the University of New Mexico. It is also about UNM employees--especially celebrity employees like Alford--using their state bestowed titles to raise money for political candidates. Vice-President Krebs and Alford played with fire and got burned. The flames were fanned by the Board of Regents. Two regents were co-hosting the White event. Veteran politico Jamie Koch is president of the board. He's now proposing that regents not be allowed to organize political fundraisers headlined by a UNM employee. Krebs and Koch ought not to take baby steps in drafting guidelines for their respective purviews. What kind of coaches are they going to get if the job includes being a political pawn and a party ornament? Political involvement like that also risks making enemies as well as friends. That can negatively impact funding for UNM in Santa Fe and Washington. New Mexico institutions are already drenched in politics. The UNM sports program ought to be a dry zone. PEELING THE LATEST POLL Heinrich You've got to constantly peel the onion in this political game and we were reminded of that once again when ABQ Dem congressional hopeful Martin Heinrich hit the streets with a poll that showed him beating Republican Darren White 47% to 44%. That's a real eyebrow raiser and contrary to the conventional wisdom that Sheriff White, with about 90% name ID, holds the lead at the start of this race. It turns out he probably does. The key to the June 29-July 2 Heinrich poll is the phrasing of the question: "Thinking about the election for U.S. Congress in November, if the election for U.S. Congress were held today and the candidates were Democrat Martin Heinrich and Republican Darren White -- for whom would you vote, Democrat Martin Heinrich or Republican Darren White?" Most polls do not include the candidate's political party. In this case, clearly identifying Heinrich as the Democrat and White as the R, likely boosted Heinrich's numbers. Ask the question without the party identifier and you are likely to get an entirely different result. In fact, Republican insiders say White is right on the 50% mark and Heinrich is in the 30's in polling conducted in the same time frame as Heinrich's. That is similar to a poll the White campaign did last year. Have things stayed static in the ABQ race? There's reason to believe so. Heinrich's primary media buy--TV and mail--was relatively small and short in duration. So just where does the race stand? White remains the clear frontrunner, but Heinrich's poll shows the potential for another close ABQ US House race. JIMENEZ AND PERLMAN So what gives with Big Bill Chief of Staff James Jimenez? The Alligators were certain he had turned in his walking papers. We headlined their "news" in a post Fourth of July blog. But the ABQ Journal, picking up on our report, is told by the Guv's office that Jimenez has indeed been approached with unspecified job offers, but as far as Jimenez leaving, a Guv's spokesman says: "I don't think there's anything imminent. He's still the chief of staff." Did the Alligators jump out of the pond too soon on this one? Maybe, but it seems clear that Jimenez is casting about, especially as the presidential election draws closer. If Obama wins and Big Bill gets a job and leaves, Jimenez would not be working with new Guv Diane Denish. By the way, the Journal reported that "despite Internet reports to the contrary" Jimenez was still around. Well, this blog is those "Internet reports." However, we won't be using that as our new domain name, despite the paper's encouragement. The Gators also had Deputy Chief of Staff Brian Condit succeeding Jimenez when he did hit the exits. While any such move is on hold, word comes from Santa Fe that former ABQ Chief Administrative Officer Bruce Perlman, who recently resigned from the city, will become a deputy chief of staff for Big Bill. Michelle Welby, the Guv's health-policy adviser, is leaving and insiders say Perlman, among other things, will pick up responsibility in that area. Condit is deputy chief of staff for legislative and political affairs. Perlman had enough of the ABQ hot seat, answering to the demanding Mayor Chavez, but where he's headed the temperature won't be going down much, especially with health-care in his portfolio. Read on.... HEALTHY SURPLUS FOR HEALTH? Big Bill didn't waste any time bringing up the subject of a special legislative session when the rosy new state revenue projections were announced. Those numbers continue to show our little ol' state awash in the green stuff as a result of the black stuff--oil. Natural gas prices are bringing in even more money. Prices for both resources have been soaring for better than a year. And as for all the legislators and wall-leaners who think Bill will end up not calling a special to deal with health care, don't unpack your bags. From the Guv's office: The state is projected to have $392 million in new money for the upcoming budget year. The Governor said the new money will be on the table when he calls the Legislature into a special session to address access to universal health coverage. "We can invest in health coverage in a fiscally responsible way. While cynics will no doubt complain about using revenue from oil and gas, I am confident..that New Mexico's economy is performing well and will allow us to expand health care coverage to all New Mexicans." Richardson said. We seem to be headed for another showdown, with key legislators like Senate Finance Committee Chair John Arthur Smith telling the AP some of the surplus should be rebated to taxpayers to help them with the high cost of gas. And Smith adds more fuel to the fire by telling Bill that oil and gas money is too volatile an income source to use for a permanent health care fix. Richardson previously said if he did not get a deal in a special, he would take what does get done to the regular 2009 sixty-day session. By lowering expectations for a special in either August or September, the cynics wonder whether the Guv is doing more grandstanding than governing. But Bill's backers relish his brinkmanship. You mean all that talk of a possible health agreement between Bill and the Senate was just that? Seems so--at least so far. Stay tuned. E-mail your news and comments. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2008 Not for reproduction without permission of the author Friday, September 14, 2007Friday Odds And Ends: Big Bill's Fundraising; The Latest From Our Pete Beat, And: On The ABQ Election Campaign Trail
We broke the news this week that Downs at ABQ owner Paul Blanchard, a major friend of Big Bill, would be throwing the Guv a high dollar fundraiser Sept. 21st. It was an eyebrow raiser for the New Mexican's Steve Terrell who wondered about that application Blanchard has pending to move the racetrack from the fairgrounds and over to Moriarty. Would the fundraiser influence that state decision?
The Blanchard fund raiser comes on the heels of Bill taking hits over campaign contributions his Prez campaign received from Santa Fe developer Gerald Peters who is involved in a big transportation department construction deal pending with the state. The Guv ordered that job rebid. Pay to play allegations have been the soft underbelly of the current Santa Fe administration, but it has not hurt the Guv's public standing. Why not? Because, the experts say, the public believes that's the way the system works for all politicians. THE BILL DEAL On the Prez trail, the Guv is getting tougher on his opponents as we hit the four month mark before the Iowa January caucuses. They are turning into something of a do or die for the New Mexican. He hovers at around 10 to 12% in the polls there and awaits a mistake from the front runners. His other options are Veep, secretary of state in a Dem administration as well as a NM US Senate run. If he runs smooth from here on out, perhaps his early mistakes will be forgotten. If Richardson isn't having the time of his life dealing with all these options, he needs fun therapy. THE PETE BEAT He's back on the radar of the national pundits after being absent for a while. The re-election prospects of NM GOP Senator Pete Domenici are analyzed in the National Journal where Charlie Cook says "New Mexico looks tougher" for Republicans as they fight to avoid heavy Senate losses next year. Will legal or political problems trip up Alaska GOP Sen. Ted Stevens or New Mexico GOP Sen. Pete Domenici, who are 84 and 75 years old, respectively? Stevens is under scrutiny by the FBI as part of an investigation into influence buying in the state. For Domenici, questions have been raised about the propriety of a phone call from him to a U.S. attorney over the status of an investigation of Democratic political figures, and whether Domenici had anything to do with that U.S. attorney being subsequently sacked. New Mexico looks tougher for Republicans and now that they are in the minority in the Senate, Domenici doesn't have the clout he wielded just a year ago. THE CAMPAIGN IN COLOR Martinez Photog Mark Bralley is out on the city campaign trail. Here's a pic he shot of Katherine Martinez, the political newcomer and government affairs rep for the Home Builders Association of Central NM who is trying to unseat incumbent district 2 councilor Debbie O'Malley. Martinez is the underdog but she has raised enough money to dot the North Valley district with her yellow campaign signs. Debbie has opted for public financing and also has signs up and will hit the mailboxes heavy. HARRIS RECALL The city ethics board audit of the campaign finances of District 9 ABQ City Councilor Don Harris has been released and despite being cited for 150 campaign violations, Harris calls the findings "messy, but not dirty." The ethics panel will now decide at a September 24 hearing what punishment, if any, it should mete out. Harris faces a recall election October 2. Have a good weekend, and stop by again soon. (c)NM POLITICS WITH JOE MONAHAN 2007 Not for reproduction without permission of the author Monday, March 21, 2022Dem Special Session Deal Spares Guv Embarrassment And Shifts Focus To Economy; She Avoids Veto Override, Plus: Fresh Rebate Debate; How Much? And: GOP Power Player Pat Rogers Dead In ABQMLG will be spared the embarrassment of having a veto overturned by her own party and New Mexicans' wallets will be fattened to cope with soaring fuel and other prices. That's the deal--a politically essential one for the Democrats--struck between the Governor and lawmakers disgruntled over her veto of a prized $50 million pork bill that had them considering calling themselves into an extraordinary session to overturn the veto. Instead, a chastened Fourth Floor did a turnaround and negotiated a special session she will call for April 5 where a new pork bill will be drafted that the legislature can approve and put the ugly memory of the veto in the rearview mirror. And that sigh of relief heard in the dens of Democrats is the agreement to have only the spending bill and inflation relief on the special agenda. No combative and unproductive arguments (and divisive stalemates) over crime, hydrogen energy and the like. This smart politics deal leaves Republicans grouchy as it deprives them of a major opportunity to sow discord in the state's majority party as they attempt to take back the Governor's office this November. Senate Minority Leader Greg Baca declared that the "people of New Mexico will not forget" the "vindictive" veto of the bill that included funding for senior programs and law enforcement equipment. But memories are short and the veto will be--if not forgotten--a mere footnote now that MLG has basically admitted to an unforced error and is making amends. What will be remembered about the upcoming special is how much relief New Mexicans will get from steep gas and grocery prices. True to form the austerity hawks at the powerful Legislative Finance Committee are already lowballing proposed rebates, putting a ceiling on them as low as $110 for those singles with incomes below $75,000 and double that for households below $150,000. But that's now chump change, argue those urging larger--much larger--rebates. They make the case that the rebates will be one time--not recurring--so they won't place a burden on the state if the financial sky were to fall. Not that such a fall is expected anytime soon. With the booming SE NM Permian Basin now expected to churn out revenue from the Black Gold for years--not months: . . . The boom times are likely here to stay, at least for the next few years, given the vast shale-based reservoirs yet to be tapped in southeastern New Mexico and West Texas, said Raoul LeBlanc, vice president at IHS Markit, a global energy consultant. “The Permian Basin remains the best place to drill in the U.S. in terms of profitability. Plays in other basins will likely grow given today’s prices, but we believe the Permian Basin will remain the primary growth place for the country going forward. When will the LFC bean counters adjust to this new reality? Given the backdrop even tight-fisted Senate Finance Committee Chairman George Munoz is less chintzy than the LFC as he eyes rebates of $300 for single taxpayer filers and $600 for joint filers. But even that is seen as inadequate in a state that is generating so much revenue that reserve funds are being accumulated at an unprecedented rate and as consumers fight sticker shock at the grocery and gas pumps. THE MAINE WAY Townsend, R-Artesia, said the rebate amounted to a pittance when considering the significant increase in costs for the average household. He added that rural New Mexico is feeling the pinch even more since residents have to drive farther for groceries and doctor visits. . . We have to be concerned about people's standard of living. Today in New Mexico, about 24% of seniors live in poverty and a little more than a third of those are raising grandchildren because of family issues. Welcome aboard, Jim. We've been waiting for you. And how much do you think the new rebates should be? Which takes us to the state of Maine. Yes--Maine--where we find a rebate number that could easily be plugged into New Mexico: Maine’s governor released a revised budget proposal that would increase checks the state plans to send to residents to $850. Democratic Gov. Janet Mills said she wants to increase the relief checks because of factors such as high inflation and rising fuels costs. The money would go to residents who earn less than $75,000 as individuals or $150,000 if filing jointly. Mills said the checks would give back half the state’s surplus to about 800,000 residents of the state. If approved, the proposal would result in a $8.67 billion General Fund budget. The currently enacted budget is $8.5 billion. Maine's rebates would cost $652 million, half that state's surplus. If New Mexico went that route the state would be handing back to taxpayers $1.25 billion of the $2.5 billion General Fund reserve--and that doesn't include other billions accumulating in the the Revenue Stabilization Fund, the Early Childhood Trust Fund, the Land Grant Permanent School Fund or the Severance Tax Permanent Fund, The rebate checks approved at the last session will cost $338 million. The math is easy. Double those checks to $500 and $1000 and you come in at less than $700 million. And that may not be a pittance but neither is it a bounty when you consider that surplus revenues continue to soar to previously unimagined heights. As Rep. Townsend pointed out, we have one of the largest percentages of low income residents in the nation whose pocketbooks are hit hardest by this bout of nasty inflation. The Governor and the legislature have plenty of room to think big and go big. PAT ROGERS Pat Rogers will be remembered as a fierce Republican warrior, taking on anyone with a D in front of their name and often fellow Republicans. Rogers, 66, died in Albuquerque over the weekend. Friends say the cause was cancer. Rogers rose to political fame as an attorney for the Republican Party, a NM GOP National Committeeman and a lobbyist with deep ties to Gov. Martinez's (2011-2018) political machine. Rogers' bulldog approach always kept him just steps away from controversy. In 2012 as the state's Republican National Committeeman he fell on his sword when he suggested in an email to Martinez staffers that she had "dishonored" Col. Custer by attending a summit with state tribal leaders. The statement caused a furor but Rogers dismissed it as a weak attempt at humor. Rogers' lengthy communications as a lobbyist via private email accounts with Martinez administration staffers was another major headline he made. Those communications, in which he comfortably discussed a wide range of issues with top officials, cost him his position with the NM Foundation for Open Government. His service at FOG was long-standing and praised, even as he ran afoul of transparency standards while lobbying. Within the GOP Rogers was at the founding of the party's most visible modern split--the one between advocates for Martinez and those who opposed her like prominent Republican oilman Harvey Yates. It's a split that persists to this day and surfaced again last month when GOP Guv candidate Mark Ronchetti, whose political consultant Jay McCleskey headed the Martinez machine, ran into headwinds at the GOP preprimary convention. Yates took on Rogers for the committeeman post in 2016 and ousted him in yet another major development in Rogers' long political career. As a GOP attorney Rogers was also deeply involved in pushing allegations of voter fraud and was involved in numerous court actions. No major fraud was ever demonstrated even as the GOP made the issue a centerpiece of their agenda as seen in the 2020 presidential election. The state GOP said of his passing: A talented attorney and dedicated Republican, Pat helped advanced the conservative cause in New Mexico for many years. Our prayers are with Pat's friends and family during this trying time. He will be greatly missed. Pat Rogers had the courage of his convictions and brought his "A" game to any battle he joined. His topsy-turvy time on the stage certainly earned him a chapter in the never ending book of La Politica. This is the home of New Mexico politics. E-mail your news and comments. (newsguy@yahoo.com) |
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